Verreweg die
mees koste-effektiewe maniere om fusie-energie na
elektrisiteit om te sit is via fotovoltaiese, wind- en
hidrokrag.? Met battery en gepompte hidro as stoor bygevoeg waar
nodig (buigsame hidro is meer energie-doeltreffend as
gepompte).? Die $2 miljard totaal wat CFS ingesamel het, is
waarskynlik minder as wat die Oekraiense, Gaza, Hezbollah,
Siriese, Houthi en ander oorloe per dag kos.? Dis nou as
die skade wat aangerig word by die militere koste getel word.
Die
aankondiging van die "400 MWe fusie kragstasie" is maar net nog
'n manier om hul stokperdjie te finansier!? Daar sal NIKS wat
ekonomies krag kan lewer van kom nie!? Nie in hierdie eeu nie.?
Ook nie in hierdie millenium nie.? Die wat dit "betwyfel", het
nie die fisika van hitte-oordrag, plasma-stabiliteit en
stralingskade ... behoorlik en eerlik toegepas nie.? Tokamaks
anders as sommige meer gekompliseerde konfigurasies (bv
Wendelstein) se plasmas is inherent onstabiel en kan
katastrofies "ontplof".? 'n Magnetiese energie
ontploffing van die soort wat keer dat die nog veel duurder ITER
masjien voltooi word!? Wee diegene wat naby is wanneer dit
gebeur!
On 2024/12/27 09:34, Wolhuter, Riaan,
Dr [wolhuter@...] via groups.io wrote:
CAUTION:
This email originated from outside the Stellenbosch
University network. Do not click links or open attachments
unless you recognize the sender and know the content is
safe.
?
Dit
begin met "IF all goes to plan ...".? 'n Baie groot IF.?
AS die voorspellings van die fusie protagoniste
gerealiseer het, was die reuse ITER reeds sowat 'n dekade
gelede operasioneel, en teen 'n klein breukdeel van sy
koste tot dusver.? Maar nou word voorspel dat dit
in die 1930s sal begin werk as prototipe om te wys dat
fusie-krag dalk moontlik sal wees.
?
gee
meer besonderhede oor die beplande aanleg in Virginia.?
Dit se^ onder andere:
"
.. let¡¯s hold our nuclear horses for just a moment: there
are several steps that must be completed before this
fusion plant, named ARC (for ¡°affordable, robust,
compact¡±), could be plugged into Virginia¡¯s power grid.
For one, CFS has not finished its demonstration machine,
SPARC (¡°smallest possible ARC¡±). The company says it
expects the completed SPARC to show net energy production
in 2027. That alone would be a feat."
Voordat
daardie maatskappy (CFS) se SPARC werk, is dit blote
wensdenkery van hulle om so groot van hierdie beoogde ARC
te praat.? Soos male sonder tal met fusie in die afgelope
driekwart-eeu, sal daar niks meer as grootpratery van kom
nie.???
Ek
sien nerens dat hulle die wesentlike probleme van enorme
stralingskade a g v die ultrasnel (14.3 MeV) neutrone
bespreek nie.? Teen 400 MW kraglewering gaan daardie
supersnel neutrone hulle superduur kriogene supergeleiers
taamlik gou vernietig.??
Ek
sien ook nie hoe hulle genoeg tritium
brandstof (wat nie in naastenby genoegsame
hoeveelhede in die natuur voorkom nie, en wat tot nou toe
uit Kanada se CANDU reaktore verkry is) gaan kry nie.?
Kanada het intussen meeste van sy CANDU reaktore gesluit,
en beplan om ook die origes binnekort te sluit.? Tritium
het 'n halfleeftyd van sowat 12 jaar.?? M a w die
bestaande beskeie voorraad daarvan word elke 12 jaar met
die helfte verminder.? So wanneer hierdie beloofde reaktor
oor 12 of meer jare gereed sal wees sal daar maar min
brandstof beskikbaar wees.
?
On 2024/12/27 01:56, Van Niekerk,
Wikus, Prof [wikus@...]
via groups.io wrote:
The
integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed
by these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word
deur die volgende bepalings bere?l.
On Fri, 27 Dec 2024, 05:45 bernhard via , <bernhard=[email protected]> wrote:
Dit begin met
"IF all goes to plan ...".? 'n Baie groot IF.? AS die
voorspellings van die fusie protagoniste gerealiseer het, was
die reuse ITER reeds sowat 'n dekade gelede operasioneel, en
teen 'n klein breukdeel van sy koste tot dusver.? Maar nou word
voorspel dat dit in die 1930s sal begin werk as prototipe
om te wys dat fusie-krag dalk moontlik sal wees.
?
gee
meer besonderhede oor die beplande aanleg in Virginia.? Dit se^
onder andere:
" .. let¡¯s
hold our nuclear horses for just a moment: there are several
steps that must be completed before this fusion plant, named ARC
(for ¡°affordable, robust, compact¡±), could be plugged into
Virginia¡¯s power grid. For one, CFS has not finished its
demonstration machine, SPARC (¡°smallest possible ARC¡±). The
company says it expects the completed SPARC to show net energy
production in 2027. That alone would be a feat."
Voordat
daardie maatskappy (CFS) se SPARC werk, is dit blote wensdenkery
van hulle om so groot van hierdie
beoogde ARC te praat.? Soos male sonder tal met fusie in die
afgelope driekwart-eeu, sal daar niks meer as grootpratery van
kom nie.???
Ek sien
nerens dat hulle die wesentlike probleme van enorme
stralingskade a g v die ultrasnel (14.3 MeV) neutrone bespreek
nie.? Teen 400 MW kraglewering gaan daardie supersnel neutrone
hulle superduur kriogene supergeleiers taamlik gou vernietig.??
Ek sien ook
nie hoe hulle genoeg tritium brandstof (wat nie in
naastenby genoegsame hoeveelhede in die natuur voorkom nie, en
wat tot nou toe uit Kanada se CANDU reaktore verkry is) gaan kry
nie.? Kanada het intussen meeste van sy CANDU reaktore gesluit,
en beplan om ook die origes binnekort te sluit.? Tritium het 'n
halfleeftyd van sowat 12 jaar.?? M a w die bestaande beskeie
voorraad daarvan word elke 12 jaar met die helfte verminder.? So
wanneer hierdie beloofde reaktor oor 12 of meer jare gereed sal
wees sal daar maar min brandstof beskikbaar wees.
On 2024/12/27 01:56, Van Niekerk,
Wikus, Prof [wikus@...] via wrote:
The
integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed by
these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur
die volgende bepalings bere?l.
CAUTION: This email originated from outside the Stellenbosch University network. Do not click links or open attachments
unless you recognize the sender and know the content is safe.
?
Dit begin met "IF all goes to plan ...".? 'n Baie groot IF.? AS die voorspellings van die fusie protagoniste gerealiseer het, was die reuse ITER reeds sowat 'n dekade gelede operasioneel,
en teen 'n klein breukdeel van sy koste tot dusver.? Maar nou word voorspel dat dit in die 1930s sal begin werk as prototipe om te wys dat fusie-krag dalk moontlik sal wees.
?
gee meer besonderhede oor die beplande aanleg in Virginia.? Dit se^ onder andere:
" .. let¡¯s hold our nuclear horses for just a moment: there are several steps that must be completed before this fusion plant, named ARC (for ¡°affordable, robust, compact¡±), could be plugged
into Virginia¡¯s power grid. For one, CFS has not finished its demonstration machine, SPARC (¡°smallest possible ARC¡±). The company says it expects the completed SPARC to show net energy production in 2027. That alone would be a feat."
Voordat daardie maatskappy (CFS) se SPARC werk, is dit blote wensdenkery van hulle om so groot van hierdie beoogde ARC te praat.? Soos male sonder tal met fusie in die afgelope driekwart-eeu,
sal daar niks meer as grootpratery van kom nie.???
Ek sien nerens dat hulle die wesentlike probleme van enorme stralingskade a g v die ultrasnel (14.3 MeV) neutrone bespreek nie.? Teen 400 MW kraglewering gaan daardie supersnel neutrone hulle
superduur kriogene supergeleiers taamlik gou vernietig.??
Ek sien ook nie hoe hulle genoeg tritium
brandstof (wat nie in naastenby genoegsame hoeveelhede in die natuur voorkom nie, en wat tot nou toe uit Kanada se CANDU reaktore verkry is) gaan kry nie.? Kanada het intussen meeste van sy CANDU reaktore gesluit, en beplan om ook die origes binnekort
te sluit.? Tritium het 'n halfleeftyd van sowat 12 jaar.?? M a w die bestaande beskeie voorraad daarvan word elke 12 jaar met die helfte verminder.? So wanneer hierdie beloofde reaktor oor 12 of meer jare gereed sal wees sal daar maar min
brandstof beskikbaar wees.
?
On 2024/12/27 01:56, Van Niekerk, Wikus, Prof [wikus@...] via groups.io wrote:
The integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed by these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur die volgende bepalings bere?l.
Dit begin met
"IF all goes to plan ...".? 'n Baie groot IF.? AS die
voorspellings van die fusie protagoniste gerealiseer het, was
die reuse ITER reeds sowat 'n dekade gelede operasioneel, en
teen 'n klein breukdeel van sy koste tot dusver.? Maar nou word
voorspel dat dit in die 1930s sal begin werk as prototipe
om te wys dat fusie-krag dalk moontlik sal wees.
?
gee
meer besonderhede oor die beplande aanleg in Virginia.? Dit se^
onder andere:
" .. let¡¯s
hold our nuclear horses for just a moment: there are several
steps that must be completed before this fusion plant, named ARC
(for ¡°affordable, robust, compact¡±), could be plugged into
Virginia¡¯s power grid. For one, CFS has not finished its
demonstration machine, SPARC (¡°smallest possible ARC¡±). The
company says it expects the completed SPARC to show net energy
production in 2027. That alone would be a feat."
Voordat
daardie maatskappy (CFS) se SPARC werk, is dit blote wensdenkery
van hulle om so groot van hierdie
beoogde ARC te praat.? Soos male sonder tal met fusie in die
afgelope driekwart-eeu, sal daar niks meer as grootpratery van
kom nie.???
Ek sien
nerens dat hulle die wesentlike probleme van enorme
stralingskade a g v die ultrasnel (14.3 MeV) neutrone bespreek
nie.? Teen 400 MW kraglewering gaan daardie supersnel neutrone
hulle superduur kriogene supergeleiers taamlik gou vernietig.??
Ek sien ook
nie hoe hulle genoeg tritium brandstof (wat nie in
naastenby genoegsame hoeveelhede in die natuur voorkom nie, en
wat tot nou toe uit Kanada se CANDU reaktore verkry is) gaan kry
nie.? Kanada het intussen meeste van sy CANDU reaktore gesluit,
en beplan om ook die origes binnekort te sluit.? Tritium het 'n
halfleeftyd van sowat 12 jaar.?? M a w die bestaande beskeie
voorraad daarvan word elke 12 jaar met die helfte verminder.? So
wanneer hierdie beloofde reaktor oor 12 of meer jare gereed sal
wees sal daar maar min brandstof beskikbaar wees.
On 2024/12/27 01:56, Van Niekerk,
Wikus, Prof [wikus@...] via groups.io wrote:
The
integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed by
these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur
die volgende bepalings bere?l.
The integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed by these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur die volgende bepalings bere?l.
Re: Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
From:[email protected] <[email protected]>
On Behalf Of Pieter Van der Walt via groups.io Sent: Thursday, 26 December 2024 13:11 To: ZA_energie <[email protected]> Subject: [ZA-energie] Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
?
CAUTION: This email originated from outside the Stellenbosch University network. Do not click links or open attachments
unless you recognize the sender and know the content is safe.
?
Kyk ook oor waterstofgedrewe treine
---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: IEEE Spectrum <ieee-spectrum@...>
Date: Thu, Dec 26, 2024 at 10:01?AM
Subject: Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
To: <pwvanderwalt@...>
>?Voltpost and other companies are making
it easier to own an EV in big cities.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
ADVERTISEMENT
>?Prepare yourself for the challenges of creating
cutting-edge A&D autonomous tech. Download the e-book to explore how autonomy is transforming the aerospace & defense industry.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
?
>?A new report from the Future
of Life Institute gave mostly Ds and Fs.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>
An Indian group has built tools to help with diagnosis and treatment.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>
Copper threads suggest a way to make gas diffusion electrodes better and larger.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>?Stan Thompson's vision for greener trains is reshaping
rail transit worldwide.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>
New kits put advanced AI edge computing power into the hands of developers everywhere.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
SPONSORED WEBINARS
IEEE offers free PDH certificates to attendees of these webinars as credits for Personal Development Hours.
?
>This webinar covers modeling 5G non-terrestrial networks (NTN) using satellite links, orbit propagation, coverage maps, Doppler compensation, 5G NR PDSCH throughput, and NB-IoT
NTN links.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
?
> In this webinar, we will discuss battery modeling at three different design scales: the microscale, cell scale,
and pack scale.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
?
?
Forwarded from a friend?
?
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
This email was sent by IEEE Spectrum 3 Park Avenue New York, NY 10016 USA
If you would like to manage your current Spectrum Newsletter preferences or sign up for other Spectrum Newsletter communications,
| ? 2024 IEEE - All rights reserved. Use of this website signifies your agreement to the terms and conditions.
?
?
The integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed by these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur die volgende bepalings bere?l.
Re: Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
Dit gaan natuurlik net oornag werk, saam met die ligte, behalwe as jy ¡®n toegewyde toevoer insit, wat jy sal moet doen. Dis nie so eenvoudig is om
die lamppaal te ¡°retrofit¡± nie. Straatligte het tipies nie dik kabeltoevoere nie (veral nou met LED ligte) en dikwels slegs enkelfase met verskillende radiale op verskillende fases. Hulle praat van 7.6 kW. Vir 230V EF gee dit 330A en vir 400V 3F ongeveer 12A/F,
sonder enige ondoeltreffendhede, dus ek dink waar hulle praat van die opgradering van 110 na 220V, bedoel hulle dis 220V 3F lynspanning, wat so 20A/F sal beteken. Dis nie te ¡®n erge kabel nie, afgangend van afstand. Kan nie anders werk nie. Jy gaan ook die
straat opgrawe, so dit mag moontlik wees in plekke, afhangende hoe ver die laaipunt vanaf ¡®n grootmaattoevoer is, soos bv ¡®n minisub, maar in stede is dit nie triviaal nie.
From:[email protected] <[email protected]>
On Behalf Of Pieter Van der Walt via groups.io Sent: Thursday, 26 December 2024 13:11 To: ZA_energie <[email protected]> Subject: [ZA-energie] Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
?
CAUTION: This email originated from outside the Stellenbosch University network. Do not click links or open attachments
unless you recognize the sender and know the content is safe.
?
Kyk ook oor waterstofgedrewe treine
---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: IEEE Spectrum <ieee-spectrum@...>
Date: Thu, Dec 26, 2024 at 10:01?AM
Subject: Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
To: <pwvanderwalt@...>
>?Voltpost and other companies are making
it easier to own an EV in big cities.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
ADVERTISEMENT
>?Prepare yourself for the challenges of creating
cutting-edge A&D autonomous tech. Download the e-book to explore how autonomy is transforming the aerospace & defense industry.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
?
>?A new report from the Future
of Life Institute gave mostly Ds and Fs.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>
An Indian group has built tools to help with diagnosis and treatment.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>
Copper threads suggest a way to make gas diffusion electrodes better and larger.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>?Stan Thompson's vision for greener trains is reshaping
rail transit worldwide.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>
New kits put advanced AI edge computing power into the hands of developers everywhere.
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
?
SPONSORED WEBINARS
IEEE offers free PDH certificates to attendees of these webinars as credits for Personal Development Hours.
?
>This webinar covers modeling 5G non-terrestrial networks (NTN) using satellite links, orbit propagation, coverage maps, Doppler compensation, 5G NR PDSCH throughput, and NB-IoT
NTN links.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
?
> In this webinar, we will discuss battery modeling at three different design scales: the microscale, cell scale,
and pack scale.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
?
?
Forwarded from a friend?
?
?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
This email was sent by IEEE Spectrum 3 Park Avenue New York, NY 10016 USA
If you would like to manage your current Spectrum Newsletter preferences or sign up for other Spectrum Newsletter communications,
| ? 2024 IEEE - All rights reserved. Use of this website signifies your agreement to the terms and conditions.
?
?
The integrity and confidentiality of this email are governed by these terms.
Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur die volgende bepalings bere?l.
Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging
---------- Forwarded message --------- From: IEEE Spectrum<ieee-spectrum@...> Date: Thu, Dec 26, 2024 at 10:01?AM Subject: Tech Alert: Growing Enthusiasm for EV Curbside Charging To: <pwvanderwalt@...>
>?Voltpost and other companies are making it easier to own an EV in big cities.
[ Image ] [[]]
ADVERTISEMENT
>?Prepare yourself for the challenges of creating cutting-edge A&D autonomous tech. Download the e-book to explore how autonomy is transforming the aerospace & defense industry.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
>?A new report from the Future of Life Institute gave mostly Ds and Fs.
[ Image ] [[]]
> An Indian group has built tools to help with diagnosis and treatment.
[ Image ] [[]]
> Copper threads suggest a way to make gas diffusion electrodes better and larger.
[ Image ] [[]]
>?Stan Thompson's vision for greener trains is reshaping rail transit worldwide.
[ Image ] [[]]
> New kits put advanced AI edge computing power into the hands of developers everywhere.
[ Image ] [[]]
SPONSORED WEBINARS
IEEE offers free PDH certificates to attendees of these webinars as credits for Personal Development Hours.
>This webinar covers modeling 5G non-terrestrial networks (NTN) using satellite links, orbit propagation, coverage maps, Doppler compensation, 5G NR PDSCH throughput, and NB-IoT NTN links.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
> In this webinar, we will discuss battery modeling at three different design scales: the microscale, cell scale, and pack scale.
[ Image ] [[]]
?
Forwarded from a friend?
?
[ Image ] [[]]
This email was sent by IEEE Spectrum 3 Park Avenue New York, NY 10016 USA
If you would like to manage your current Spectrum Newsletter preferences or sign up for other Spectrum Newsletter communications, | ? 2024 IEEE - All rights reserved. Use of this website signifies your agreement to the terms and conditions.
Dit lyk nie
juis asof hierdie groep (oorspronklik van MIT), wat reeds jare
lank groot aansprake maak waarmee hulle miljarde se befondsing
gekry het, veel vertroue het in hulle tegnologie nie!
December 24¡ªThere¡¯s
a new plan to build a in
Virginia,?chemists create the , and
mathematicians determine the .
Those and more below!
This newsletter is off next
week and will return in 2025.
Have a very happy New Year.?
--Ben Guarino, Associate
Editor, Technology
P.S. I'd love to hear from
you! Email me with feedback
and suggestions at benjamin.guarino@....
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On Fri, 20 Dec 2024, 17:12 bernhard via , <bernhard=[email protected]> wrote:
Eskom
prepaid electricity system breached
By?
An
investigation has uncovered that security controls in Eskom¡¯s
online vending system (OVS) were breached and the system was
used to generate illegal electricity tokens in bulk.
The
power utility suspects some of its own staff may be involved
in the crime and has appointed an external IT company to
conduct a forensic probe into the breach and to make
recommendations on fixing the OVS¡¯s vulnerabilities.
The
OVS was first implemented by Eskom in 2008 to combat so-called
¡°ghost¡± vending of electricity tokens sold through offline
credit dispensing units which were stolen or lost.
The
OVS facilitates the dispensing of prepaid electricity via
virtual channels including banking apps, remote terminals such
as ATMs, and other vending stations.
¡°The
system vends electricity tokens from the main Eskom central
server through approved national vending agents using a secure
backend in real-time,¡± the power utility explained in its 2024
integrated report.
¡°The
system should not permit any external vending channel to vend
a token if the vending agent cannot communicate with the Eskom
server or cannot be authenticated via the secure protocol.¡±
¡°Once
the token is generated, it is encrypted, stored in the OVS
database, and sent to the customer by the vending agent.¡±
¡°Once
the customer enters the token, the prepaid meter decodes the
20-digit token using the Standard Transfer Specifications
security protocol, and only accepts the token if all the
related information matches the OVS system and is accepted as
valid.¡±
¡°If
the information does not match, the token will be rejected.¡±
However,
these controls were not sufficient, and Eskom strongly
suspects that some of its own staff had successfully colluded
with illicit operators and compromised the OVS to facilitate
the creation and sale of fraudulent prepaid electricity
tokens, both for key revision number (KRN) 1 and KRN 2 meters.
An
infographic comparing the basic functioning of Eskom¡¯s
discontinued offline and online vending systems.
Concerns
over sole supplier¡¯s conflict of interest
The
utility¡¯s Audit and Risk Committee (ARC) acknowledged that the
prepaid electricity ecosystem exposed Eskom to various risks,
including the creation and use of illicit tokens from which
the uitility derives no revenue.
In
addition, Eskom relies on a single supplier for the OVS¡¯s
software and hardware solutions. The supplier is also a
distributor of the tokens, creating a possible conflict of
interest.
The
ARC provided oversight of the progress of the investigation
into the breach of the OVS and the implementation of action
plans.
The
latter includes improved cybersecurity controls to prevent the
creation of illicit tokens as far as possible.
ARC
also requested that all service-level agreements in the
prepaid electricity ecosystem be reviewed and that the related
risks be evaluated and appropriately addressed.
¡°This
could include the possible exit of agreements where the risk
is considered intolerable, as well as implementing a process
where national vending agents must provide assurance reports
on controls and submit independent confirmation that their
systems are secure and that they are only selling valid
prepaid electricity tokens,¡± Eskom¡¯s integrated report said.
In
his introductory comments at Eskom¡¯s 2024 annual financial
results presentation on Thursday, 19 December 2024, Eskom
board chairperson Mthetho Nyati said the issue contributed to
the delay in the publication of Eskom¡¯s results.
Eskom
typically announces its annual results in the third quarter of
each year.
Nyati
explained that Eskom was unable to reliably estimate its
potential financial obligation from the exposure that illicit
tokens could be used in the future.
There
is a high level of uncertainty around the number of illicit
prepaid electricity tokens generated through OVS that remained
in circulation and compatible with Eskom meters after the KRN
rollover.
Eskom
said it would provide an update on the investigation once it
is finalised and that the matter was also being handled by the
¡°relevant state investigative authorities.¡±
Eskom
has estimated that 13.9 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity it
supplied during the 2024 financial year was lost to
electricity theft, including through illegal tokens and
bypassed meters.
The
power utility has calculated that this cost it roughly R23
billion in revenue during the year.
An
investigation has uncovered that security controls in Eskom¡¯s
online vending system (OVS) were breached and the system was
used to generate illegal electricity tokens in bulk.
The
power utility suspects some of its own staff may be involved
in the crime and has appointed an external IT company to
conduct a forensic probe into the breach and to make
recommendations on fixing the OVS¡¯s vulnerabilities.
The
OVS was first implemented by Eskom in 2008 to combat so-called
¡°ghost¡± vending of electricity tokens sold through offline
credit dispensing units which were stolen or lost.
The
OVS facilitates the dispensing of prepaid electricity via
virtual channels including banking apps, remote terminals such
as ATMs, and other vending stations.
¡°The
system vends electricity tokens from the main Eskom central
server through approved national vending agents using a secure
backend in real-time,¡± the power utility explained in its 2024
integrated report.
¡°The
system should not permit any external vending channel to vend
a token if the vending agent cannot communicate with the Eskom
server or cannot be authenticated via the secure protocol.¡±
¡°Once
the token is generated, it is encrypted, stored in the OVS
database, and sent to the customer by the vending agent.¡±
¡°Once
the customer enters the token, the prepaid meter decodes the
20-digit token using the Standard Transfer Specifications
security protocol, and only accepts the token if all the
related information matches the OVS system and is accepted as
valid.¡±
¡°If
the information does not match, the token will be rejected.¡±
However,
these controls were not sufficient, and Eskom strongly
suspects that some of its own staff had successfully colluded
with illicit operators and compromised the OVS to facilitate
the creation and sale of fraudulent prepaid electricity
tokens, both for key revision number (KRN) 1 and KRN 2 meters.
An
infographic comparing the basic functioning of Eskom¡¯s
discontinued offline and online vending systems.
Concerns
over sole supplier¡¯s conflict of interest
The
utility¡¯s Audit and Risk Committee (ARC) acknowledged that the
prepaid electricity ecosystem exposed Eskom to various risks,
including the creation and use of illicit tokens from which
the uitility derives no revenue.
In
addition, Eskom relies on a single supplier for the OVS¡¯s
software and hardware solutions. The supplier is also a
distributor of the tokens, creating a possible conflict of
interest.
The
ARC provided oversight of the progress of the investigation
into the breach of the OVS and the implementation of action
plans.
The
latter includes improved cybersecurity controls to prevent the
creation of illicit tokens as far as possible.
ARC
also requested that all service-level agreements in the
prepaid electricity ecosystem be reviewed and that the related
risks be evaluated and appropriately addressed.
¡°This
could include the possible exit of agreements where the risk
is considered intolerable, as well as implementing a process
where national vending agents must provide assurance reports
on controls and submit independent confirmation that their
systems are secure and that they are only selling valid
prepaid electricity tokens,¡± Eskom¡¯s integrated report said.
In
his introductory comments at Eskom¡¯s 2024 annual financial
results presentation on Thursday, 19 December 2024, Eskom
board chairperson Mthetho Nyati said the issue contributed to
the delay in the publication of Eskom¡¯s results.
Eskom
typically announces its annual results in the third quarter of
each year.
Nyati
explained that Eskom was unable to reliably estimate its
potential financial obligation from the exposure that illicit
tokens could be used in the future.
There
is a high level of uncertainty around the number of illicit
prepaid electricity tokens generated through OVS that remained
in circulation and compatible with Eskom meters after the KRN
rollover.
Eskom
said it would provide an update on the investigation once it
is finalised and that the matter was also being handled by the
¡°relevant state investigative authorities.¡±
Eskom
has estimated that 13.9 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity it
supplied during the 2024 financial year was lost to
electricity theft, including through illegal tokens and
bypassed meters.
The
power utility has calculated that this cost it roughly R23
billion in revenue during the year.
Re: General Motors in China -- from leader to 16th place
On Fri, 20 Dec 2024, 14:48 bernhard via , <bernhard=[email protected]> wrote:
China has
long, and persistently, prioritized electric & hybrid
vehicles
G.M.
Led in China for Years. Here¡¯s How It Ended Up 16th in Sales.
General Motors has gone
from market leader to also-ran in the world¡¯s largest car
market, stymied by its own missteps and Chinese policies that
favored its local rivals.
Listen to this
article?¡¤ 12:56 min?
Share
full article
165
Bringing
American auto technology to China included training
employees in partnership with a local carmaker. Workers
in Shanghai examined a Buick¡¯s undercarriage in 1998.Credit...Greg
Girard/Contact Press Images, for The New York Time
By?
Keith Bradsher,
who has covered General Motors¡¯ China business since
2002, reported from Shanghai.
Dec.
19, 2024
General Motors was a
pioneer in China, where for a quarter-century the company
drew enormous profits and vied with Germany¡¯s Volkswagen
as the top seller of cars.
Those days are over.
G.M.¡¯s sales in China
have entered a death spiral, falling 42.5 percent in the
first 11 months of this year. The company now ranks 16th
by sales. The dizzying collapse of its China business
forced G.M. to take a??against profits this
month.
It was a drastic
comedown for the company, which started in China in 1996
with an initial investment of $350 million and went on to
build a network of factories, churning out vehicles and
sending billions in profits to its headquarters in
Detroit.
G.M.¡¯s early China
executives were highly responsive to the unique
characteristics of the market. They built bulky minivans
with lots of sparkling chrome to appeal to leaders of the
state-owned companies that were big customers. They?, a faded brand in the United States that
still had cachet in China. For rural farmers, G.M. offered
vans and pickup trucks with flimsy seats and no
air-conditioning that?.
Advertisement
In many ways, the
story of G.M. in China tracks the experience of all
foreign automakers in what is now the world¡¯s largest car
market.
China allowed foreign
carmakers like G.M. into the country only as part of a
publicly stated, long-term policy to gain technology and
build its own globally competitive industry. Government
leaders were also intent early on to shift away from cars
that needed gasoline, which China mostly imports, and
toward electric cars powered by energy sources at home
like coal, solar and wind.
G.M. executives
foresaw China¡¯s strength, particularly in electric cars.
¡°China is well positioned to lead in this,¡± David
Tulauskas, an early G.M. director of China government
policy, said in a 2009?.
But after years of
success, G.M. has found it increasingly difficult to
compete with Chinese rivals or adapt to the rise of
electric cars.
Image
Potential
buyers looked at an inexpensive Wuling minivan in 2005
at a dealership near the company¡¯s factory in Liuzhou,
China. G.M. had invested in Wuling three years
earlier.Credit...Chang
W. Lee/The New York Times
Government policies
that forced G.M. into joint ventures with Chinese
companies meant that G.M. ended up teaching much of what
it knew about car manufacturing to local rivals that now
outsell it.
Advertisement
Since 2008, Beijing
has collected??totaling
more than 100 percent on large, imported cars and sport
utility vehicles. The taxes are so high that G.M. does not
even try to import some models, like the Cadillac
Escalade. That full-size S.U.V. starts at $87,595 in the
United States but costs $186,000 including tax in China,
when purchased through an import agent.
Electric cars made in
China face only a 13 percent tax.
In addition to
wielding tax policy at foreign carmakers, Beijing limited
or blocked government subsidies for cars built by foreign
companies. Partly as a result, G.M. has not competed
effectively in battery electric vehicles and plug-in
hybrid cars. These models together accounted for 52.3
percent of the Chinese market in November, the China
Passenger Car Association announced last week. That was up
from 32.8 percent in January.
These fast-growing
categories account for less than 20 percent of G.M. sales
this year ¡ª while its sales of gasoline-powered cars have
halved.
The Chinese market
transformed much faster than anyone expected. The
government¡¯s??was for one in five cars sold
in 2025 not to run on gasoline or diesel.
Editors¡¯ Picks
Advertisement
G.M. declined to make
any executives available for interviews for this article.
The company provided a statement expressing optimism that
its main operations in China, a joint venture with the
state-owned SAIC Motor of Shanghai that makes Chevrolets,
Buicks and Cadillacs, would return to health.
¡°G.M. is working
closer than ever with our joint-venture partner SAIC to
restore the business in China to make it profitable and
sustainable,¡± the company said. SAIC did not respond to
requests for comment.
Image
The
headquarters of the Wuling joint venture in Liuzhou,
in southern China¡¯s Guangxi region, in January.Credit...Jade
Gao/Agence France-Presse ¡ª Getty Images
The architect of
G.M.¡¯s early successes was Philip F. Murtaugh, an obscure
middle manager who had grown up on an Ohio farm. He went
straight from high school in 1973 to the General Motors
Institute, a company-sponsored college in Flint, Mich.,
where students worked while also taking classes. Mr.
Murtaugh toiled in a factory that stamped car body parts.
Working up the ranks,
Mr. Murtaugh, who spoke no Chinese, was given a crucial
role on the team that negotiated G.M.¡¯s joint venture with
SAIC. While the rest of the team went back to the United
States, Mr. Murtaugh stayed in Shanghai to run the new
business.
Advertisement
China¡¯s car market
was tiny ¡ª 400,000 cars were sold in 1998. Today that
number is 27 million.
One early win for the
joint venture was the Buick GL8 luxury minivan for
corporate fleets. Introduced in 1999, it was designed to
maximize interior space but was just small enough to avoid
being categorized as a commercial vehicle and tagged with
a yellow sticker?on
a fender. A quarter-century later, luxury-apartment
parking lots in Beijing and Shanghai still have many of
the latest GL8s.
Image
Guests
tried out the new Buick GL8 minivan during its
introduction at a G.M. factory in Shanghai in 1999.Credit...Liu
Jin/Agence France-Presse ¡ª Getty Images
Image
At
the G.M. stand on the opening day of the Beijing
auto show in 2006, visitors looked at an engine next
to a Buick LaCrosse sedan.Credit...Keith
Bradsher/The New York Times
Next came the Buick
LaCrosse sedan. In the early 2000s, Chinese consumers
developed a growing taste for car ownership. G.M.
executives noticed that many of these buyers were hiring
drivers and riding in the back seat. Collaborating with
SAIC, G.M.??with extra
legroom for rear-seat passengers.
Rival executives
watched the joint venture¡¯s success and fumed. ¡°I
struggled with that, because I couldn¡¯t persuade people in
Detroit, in Auburn Hills, to pay attention to the back
seat,¡± said Bill Russo, the top executive in China then
for Chrysler, which had its headquarters in Auburn Hills,
Mich.
Advertisement
Introduced in
February 2006, the special LaCrosse minted fortunes for
G.M. in China. A year later, as Chinese motorists demanded
fuel economy and new technology, the joint venture
introduced a gasoline-electric hybrid version of the
LaCrosse.
Mr. Murtaugh arranged
in 2002 for G.M. to pay just $31 million to buy a 34
percent stake in Wuling, an obscure Chinese manufacturer
in the mountains of southwestern China. Wuling made
spartan, low-price vans. G.M.¡¯s top executives in Detroit
were initially skeptical of investments in economy cars.
They later raised the company¡¯s stake in Wuling to 44
percent after the utilitarian vehicles proved popular in
rural China.
But shortly before
the first LaCrosse went on sale in China, and as Wuling¡¯s
potential was only starting to become clear, Mr. Murtaugh
was?. His fast-growing and highly autonomous
empire 7,000 miles from G.M. headquarters was earning
close to $2 million a day by 2005. But the company¡¯s North
American operations were struggling, losing about $10
million a day.
General Motors in China -- from leader to 16th place
China has
long, and persistently, prioritized electric & hybrid
vehicles
G.M.
Led in China for Years. Here¡¯s How It Ended Up 16th in Sales.
General Motors has gone
from market leader to also-ran in the world¡¯s largest car
market, stymied by its own missteps and Chinese policies that
favored its local rivals.
Listen to this
article?¡¤ 12:56 min?
Share
full article
165
Bringing
American auto technology to China included training
employees in partnership with a local carmaker. Workers
in Shanghai examined a Buick¡¯s undercarriage in 1998.Credit...Greg
Girard/Contact Press Images, for The New York Time
By?
Keith Bradsher,
who has covered General Motors¡¯ China business since
2002, reported from Shanghai.
General Motors was a
pioneer in China, where for a quarter-century the company
drew enormous profits and vied with Germany¡¯s Volkswagen
as the top seller of cars.
Those days are over.
G.M.¡¯s sales in China
have entered a death spiral, falling 42.5 percent in the
first 11 months of this year. The company now ranks 16th
by sales. The dizzying collapse of its China business
forced G.M. to take a??against profits this
month.
It was a drastic
comedown for the company, which started in China in 1996
with an initial investment of $350 million and went on to
build a network of factories, churning out vehicles and
sending billions in profits to its headquarters in
Detroit.
G.M.¡¯s early China
executives were highly responsive to the unique
characteristics of the market. They built bulky minivans
with lots of sparkling chrome to appeal to leaders of the
state-owned companies that were big customers. They?, a faded brand in the United States that
still had cachet in China. For rural farmers, G.M. offered
vans and pickup trucks with flimsy seats and no
air-conditioning that?.
Advertisement
In many ways, the
story of G.M. in China tracks the experience of all
foreign automakers in what is now the world¡¯s largest car
market.
China allowed foreign
carmakers like G.M. into the country only as part of a
publicly stated, long-term policy to gain technology and
build its own globally competitive industry. Government
leaders were also intent early on to shift away from cars
that needed gasoline, which China mostly imports, and
toward electric cars powered by energy sources at home
like coal, solar and wind.
G.M. executives
foresaw China¡¯s strength, particularly in electric cars.
¡°China is well positioned to lead in this,¡± David
Tulauskas, an early G.M. director of China government
policy, said in a 2009?.
But after years of
success, G.M. has found it increasingly difficult to
compete with Chinese rivals or adapt to the rise of
electric cars.
Image
Potential
buyers looked at an inexpensive Wuling minivan in 2005
at a dealership near the company¡¯s factory in Liuzhou,
China. G.M. had invested in Wuling three years
earlier.Credit...Chang
W. Lee/The New York Times
Government policies
that forced G.M. into joint ventures with Chinese
companies meant that G.M. ended up teaching much of what
it knew about car manufacturing to local rivals that now
outsell it.
Advertisement
Since 2008, Beijing
has collected??totaling
more than 100 percent on large, imported cars and sport
utility vehicles. The taxes are so high that G.M. does not
even try to import some models, like the Cadillac
Escalade. That full-size S.U.V. starts at $87,595 in the
United States but costs $186,000 including tax in China,
when purchased through an import agent.
Electric cars made in
China face only a 13 percent tax.
In addition to
wielding tax policy at foreign carmakers, Beijing limited
or blocked government subsidies for cars built by foreign
companies. Partly as a result, G.M. has not competed
effectively in battery electric vehicles and plug-in
hybrid cars. These models together accounted for 52.3
percent of the Chinese market in November, the China
Passenger Car Association announced last week. That was up
from 32.8 percent in January.
These fast-growing
categories account for less than 20 percent of G.M. sales
this year ¡ª while its sales of gasoline-powered cars have
halved.
The Chinese market
transformed much faster than anyone expected. The
government¡¯s??was for one in five cars sold
in 2025 not to run on gasoline or diesel.
Advertisement
G.M. declined to make
any executives available for interviews for this article.
The company provided a statement expressing optimism that
its main operations in China, a joint venture with the
state-owned SAIC Motor of Shanghai that makes Chevrolets,
Buicks and Cadillacs, would return to health.
¡°G.M. is working
closer than ever with our joint-venture partner SAIC to
restore the business in China to make it profitable and
sustainable,¡± the company said. SAIC did not respond to
requests for comment.
Image
The
headquarters of the Wuling joint venture in Liuzhou,
in southern China¡¯s Guangxi region, in January.Credit...Jade
Gao/Agence France-Presse ¡ª Getty Images
The architect of
G.M.¡¯s early successes was Philip F. Murtaugh, an obscure
middle manager who had grown up on an Ohio farm. He went
straight from high school in 1973 to the General Motors
Institute, a company-sponsored college in Flint, Mich.,
where students worked while also taking classes. Mr.
Murtaugh toiled in a factory that stamped car body parts.
Working up the ranks,
Mr. Murtaugh, who spoke no Chinese, was given a crucial
role on the team that negotiated G.M.¡¯s joint venture with
SAIC. While the rest of the team went back to the United
States, Mr. Murtaugh stayed in Shanghai to run the new
business.
Advertisement
China¡¯s car market
was tiny ¡ª 400,000 cars were sold in 1998. Today that
number is 27 million.
One early win for the
joint venture was the Buick GL8 luxury minivan for
corporate fleets. Introduced in 1999, it was designed to
maximize interior space but was just small enough to avoid
being categorized as a commercial vehicle and tagged with
a yellow sticker?on
a fender. A quarter-century later, luxury-apartment
parking lots in Beijing and Shanghai still have many of
the latest GL8s.
Image
Guests
tried out the new Buick GL8 minivan during its
introduction at a G.M. factory in Shanghai in 1999.Credit...Liu
Jin/Agence France-Presse ¡ª Getty Images
Image
At
the G.M. stand on the opening day of the Beijing
auto show in 2006, visitors looked at an engine next
to a Buick LaCrosse sedan.Credit...Keith
Bradsher/The New York Times
Next came the Buick
LaCrosse sedan. In the early 2000s, Chinese consumers
developed a growing taste for car ownership. G.M.
executives noticed that many of these buyers were hiring
drivers and riding in the back seat. Collaborating with
SAIC, G.M.??with extra
legroom for rear-seat passengers.
Rival executives
watched the joint venture¡¯s success and fumed. ¡°I
struggled with that, because I couldn¡¯t persuade people in
Detroit, in Auburn Hills, to pay attention to the back
seat,¡± said Bill Russo, the top executive in China then
for Chrysler, which had its headquarters in Auburn Hills,
Mich.
Advertisement
Introduced in
February 2006, the special LaCrosse minted fortunes for
G.M. in China. A year later, as Chinese motorists demanded
fuel economy and new technology, the joint venture
introduced a gasoline-electric hybrid version of the
LaCrosse.
Mr. Murtaugh arranged
in 2002 for G.M. to pay just $31 million to buy a 34
percent stake in Wuling, an obscure Chinese manufacturer
in the mountains of southwestern China. Wuling made
spartan, low-price vans. G.M.¡¯s top executives in Detroit
were initially skeptical of investments in economy cars.
They later raised the company¡¯s stake in Wuling to 44
percent after the utilitarian vehicles proved popular in
rural China.
But shortly before
the first LaCrosse went on sale in China, and as Wuling¡¯s
potential was only starting to become clear, Mr. Murtaugh
was?. His fast-growing and highly autonomous
empire 7,000 miles from G.M. headquarters was earning
close to $2 million a day by 2005. But the company¡¯s North
American operations were struggling, losing about $10
million a day.
G.M. leaders in
Michigan decided to seek greater economies from
large-scale production, the company¡¯s century-old formula
for success. They integrated the China joint venture¡¯s car
designs, procurement and other units into respective
divisions in Detroit.
Mr. Murtaugh lost his
independence and most of his authority, and resigned in
protest. Unemployed at 49 for the first time in his life,
he left Shanghai for a home in Kentucky. Mr. Murtaugh
later worked briefly for SAIC and then a succession of
Chinese start-ups, but did not repeat his success at G.M.
He declined to comment for this article.
Advertisement
At the G.M.-SAIC
joint venture, the pace of hits began to slow.
In 2007, the same
year the LaCrosse hybrid went on sale, China¡¯s premier,
Wen Jiabao, chose a former Audi engineer,?, to become the country¡¯s minister of science
and technology. Mr. Wan would stay in the job for 11 years
and, with instructions from the country¡¯s top leaders to
spend whatever it took, oversaw the initial conversion of
the Chinese auto industry to electric cars.
¡°If you compare it to
Western governments¡¯ back and forth, the Chinese
government¡¯s unswerving commitment to the development of
the E.V. market gave companies and investors the
confidence to go forward,¡± said Stephen Dyer, a former
Ford Motor executive in China who now leads Asia
automotive consulting at AlixPartners.
In response to
changes in the Chinese market, G.M. decided in 2011 to
import the??plug-in hybrid, which had been
developed with assistance from the Obama administration.
But the Chinese government told G.M. that the Volt would
not qualify for government subsidies ¡ª up to $19,300 per
car ¡ª unless G.M. agreed to transfer electric car
technology to SAIC Motor, like how to make powerful
batteries that could be recharged many times.
G.M. faced pressure
from Congress not to share technologies developed partly
with federal money. The company agreed to transfer??to the joint venture,
but not the Volt¡¯s technology. As a result, the model did
not qualify for the Chinese subsidies, which doomed it to
be uncompetitive.
G.M. then became more
cautious in its approach to China. Executives at
Volkswagen, Ford and other automakers had long warned that
G.M. was sharing too much advanced technology with SAIC.
G.M. executives in the United States began to have the
same worry.
Advertisement
Image
Robots
on an assembly line at a Nio factory in Hefei, China,
last year.Credit...Qilai
Shen for The New York Times
Image
Chinese
automotive start-ups, like Xpeng Motors, have invested
heavily in robots and design innovations.Credit...Qilai
Shen for The New York Times
Image
A
Zeekr factory in Ningbo, China, in 2021.Credit...Lorenz
Huber for The New York Times
The joint venture
began building many cars in China using a lower-tech
vehicle technology that lost appeal as the country became
more affluent and Chinese automakers learned to build
better cars. G.M. transferred designers and engineers from
its Brazil and Mexico operations to Shanghai to replace
higher-paid American engineers.
At the same time,
SAIC was withdrawing Chinese engineers from the joint
venture after they had worked with G.M.¡¯s technology. SAIC
assigned them to develop its own cars and minivans. Many
of those SAIC vehicles would later compete directly with
cars from its joint venture with G.M.
Advertisement
In 2016, G.M. tried
again to offer a plug-in hybrid, the Buick Velite. Even
though the batteries were made in China, Beijing??to buyers, without
telling G.M. in advance, because the company making the
batteries in China, LG, was South Korean.
When the pandemic
began in early 2020, G.M. evacuated almost all foreign
employees and their families from China, as did Volkswagen
and other automakers. China¡¯s borders were sealed to
travelers. But Chinese automotive start-ups like?,??were investing heavily
in robots and design innovations.
Today, Chinese
automakers dominate their home market. SAIC, G.M.¡¯s
longtime partner, is among the most successful. Private
Chinese companies emerging from the cellphone industry ¡ª
like?,??and??¡ª
pose even more formidable competition.
Last week, G.M. shut
its??in the United
States. The initiative had been essential to the company¡¯s
long-term competitiveness in China, where the government
is pushing faster for??than anywhere else in the
world.
G.M. said it was not
giving up on China.
In April, its joint
venture with SAIC introduced a plug-in hybrid version of
the GL8 minivan, which has had few changes since the
1990s. It is still the best-selling minivan in China. But
SAIC has introduced an almost identical competitor, the
Maxus G90.
Advertisement
G.M. began importing
Chevrolet Tahoe full-size sport utility vehicles to China
from the United States this year. And to bypass Chinese
taxes, it is replacing their engines with much smaller
ones.
Wuling, the maker of
utilitarian minivans and pickups, is selling three times
as many vehicles in China as mainstay G.M. brands. G.M.
still profits from its 44 percent investment, but SAIC is
the controlling shareholder in Wuling with a 49 percent
stake.
G.M. said its China
sales of electric and plug-in hybrid cars surpassed its
sales of gasoline cars in late summer for the first time.
Overall sales have increased each month since July. ¡°Our
results have begun to improve,¡± the company said.
But many in China see
not just G.M. but all foreign automakers as dangerously
behind. More than four-fifths of the electric and plug-in
hybrid cars sold here are Chinese brands.
¡°It is not just
G.M.,¡± said Mr. Russo, the former Chrysler executive, who
is now a Shanghai electric car consultant. ¡°Everyone among
the foreign automakers had a condescending, arrogant
attitude toward the capability of the Chinese companies to
embrace innovation.¡±
Advertisement
Image
A
Buick GL8 minivan on display during the Shanghai auto
show in 2023.Credit...Alex
Plavevski/EPA, via Shutterstock
Image
A
Chevrolet Tahoe at a G.M. dealership selling imported
cars in Shanghai. While G.M. mostly sells cars in
China that are made by a joint venture, it is trying
to import a few models from the United States.Credit...
CAUTION: This email originated from outside the Stellenbosch University network. Do not click links or open attachments
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Die integriteit en vertroulikheid van hierdie e-pos word deur die volgende bepalings bere?l.
"The primary
shortcoming of nuclear power is that it is extremely expensive
compared to all other energy options. This is because nuclear
fission is an inherently dangerous technology, which
necessitates very costly safeguards during construction,
operation and decomissioning, as well as for the radioactive
fuel and waste.
"The cost of
electricity from a new nuclear power plant ranges from three to
over thirty times more than the electricity from solar, wind and
battery power (SWB)
"The
cost of nuclear power has risen over 25% in the last
10 years, while in the same period the cost of solar power has
fallen almost 90%, the cost of wind power has dropped
fallen nearly 50% and the cost of batteries has fallen
roughly 90%."
How Much Cleaner Energy Could Save, in Lives and Money
How
Much Cleaner Energy Could Save America, in Lives and Money
Widespread
adoption of heat pumps could prevent thousands of premature
deaths and save billions on energy bills, according to a new
analysis.
Listen
to this article?¡¤ 5:15 min?
Share
full article
An
electric heat pump in a home in Farmingdale, Me.Credit...Tristan
Spinski for The New York Times
By?
Electric
heat pumps, the most affordable and energy efficient way to
heat and cool homes, continue to outsell gas furnaces
nationwide. They can also reduce outdoor pollution and, as a
result, save lives, according to?.
The
study, by Rewiring America, a nonprofit group that promotes
electrification, calculated that if every American household
got rid of furnaces, hot water heaters and clothes dryers
powered by oil or gas and replaced them with heat pumps and
electric appliances, annual greenhouse gas emissions could
drop by about 400 million metric tons. Fine airborne
particulate matter and other air pollutants could decrease
by 300,000 tons, the equivalent of taking 40 million cars
off the road.
Roughly
two-thirds of the country¡¯s households burn fossil fuels
such as natural gas, propane and fuel oil for heat, hot
water and drying clothes, releasing nitrogen oxides and
other pollutants into the air.
While
a transition to electric appliances could shave $60 billion
off people¡¯s annual energy bills, it could also deliver
important health rewards, researchers found. It could
prevent 3,400 fewer premature deaths per year, 1,300 fewer
hospital visits and 220,000 fewer asthma attacks, all of
which amounted to about $40 billion in benefits, according
to the study.
your
times access
Have
a moment? Play these games.
¡°Just
swapping out appliances, it¡¯s eye-opening in terms of the
significant impacts,¡± said Wael Kanj, senior research
associate with Rewiring America and the lead author on the
report.
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The
amount of pollution reduction would depend on whether the
electricity needed was generated by low-carbon sources like
wind and solar power or came from gas or coal-fired power
plants.
¡°The
report rightly highlights the need to produce clean energy,¡±
Rob Jackson, a climate scientist at Stanford University who
has researched the health impacts of gas stoves, wrote in an
email. ¡°Electrifying our homes will have fewer benefits in
West Virginia, where around 90 percent of electricity comes
from dirty coal, than in other states with cleaner
electricity.¡±
Mr.
Kanj said if the grid decarbonized faster than forecast, the
pollution reductions and health benefits would increase.
Yifang
Zhu, a professor at the U.C.L.A. Fielding School of Public
Health and an expert in air pollution, said the ways
household appliances affected outdoor air pollution had
largely gone understudied and that the new research helped
fill in a gap. ¡°Every sector needs to be looked at,¡± she
said. ¡°People can realize there are more benefits than just
improved indoor air quality by electrifying households.¡±
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The
effect of gas stoves on indoor air came into sharp focus
this past year after??in
the United States and 50,000 cases of childhood asthma.
More
American households are moving to heat pumps, which have
outsold gas furnaces in recent years and are on pace to do
so again in 2024.
The
report from Rewiring America, titled ¡°Breathe Easy,¡± drew
from data, analyses and reports from a series of government
agencies, including the National Renewable Energy
Laboratory, the Environmental Protection Agency, the U.S.
Census Bureau and the Energy Information Administration.
The
American Gas Association, an industry group, contested the
findings. A spokeswoman, Emily Carlin, pointed to the
association¡¯s own research, which found that it cost less to
use natural gas in a new home compared to going
all-electric. The group¡¯s research found that
high-efficiency natural gas appliances could yield fewer
greenhouse gas emissions compared to an all-electric
household and said that reductions in greenhouse gas
emissions were similar to that of a heat pump in a colder
climate.
The
association also highlighted a study funded by the World
Health Organization that found no significant increased
asthma risk from home gas use compared with electricity, and
a lower risk of bronchitis, though that study did find a
possible increased risk of pneumonia and obstructive
pulmonary disease.
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Amy
Andryszak, president and chief executive of the Interstate
Natural Gas Association of America, called the study
¡°inherently flawed¡± and said its calculations did not
include increased costs on an electric grid that would come
with getting rid of natural gas. ¡°This is not a serious
study, but rather an attempt to secure headlines with the
same false and misleading talking points that activists have
been using for years,¡± she said.
Under
the Inflation Reduction Act, the federal government
allocated nearly $9 billion in home energy rebates for
electric appliances and energy efficient home retrofits. In
2023, more than 250,000 families claimed federal tax credits
for heat pumps and more than 100,000 families claimed
credits for heat pump water heaters. President-elect Donald
J. Trump has said he wants to repeal the law. It¡¯s unclear
what that could mean for heat pump adoption, as many of the
rebate funds have already been allocated to states.
Outrage at Eskom's huge tariff increase application
NERSA concludes
public hearings with overwhelming rejection of Eskom
tariff hike
Yesterday - by?
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Public hearings on
Eskom¡¯s sixth multi-year price determination revenue
application (MYPD6) for 2026-2028 have concluded with the
National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) hearing
widespread rejection from stakeholders regarding Eskom¡¯s
proposed tariff increases. Eskom is seeking tariff hikes
of 36,15% in 2025, 11,81% in 2026 and 9,10% in 2027 ¨C a 66%
increase over three years. The final round of public
consultations, held in Durban last week, revealed
significant dissatisfaction with the proposal.
¡°There has been
widespread opposition ¨C even outrage ¨C at the
application,¡± said Chris Yelland, Managing Director of EE
Business Intelligence. ¡°I¡¯m not aware of any organisation
putting their names down in support of this application.¡±
The Organisation
Undoing Tax Abuse (OUTA) and City Power made detailed
submissions opposing the proposed increases, citing
concerns about Eskom¡¯s financial management, cost control
and focus on price hikes rather than operational
efficiency.
¡°Despite massive
revenue and price increases over the past 15 years,
Eskom¡¯s primary focus remains on ensuring cost
reflectivity by increasing tariffs further with little
attention to reducing costs or improving efficiency,¡± OUTA
said. Yelland agreed: ¡°Eskom seems to think that the
only solution they can propose is to put up their
prices. They don¡¯t discuss how they can reduce their
costs.¡±
City Power also
raised concerns about Eskom¡¯s rising primary energy
costs, which are projected to increase by 38% from
R92 billion in the current financial year to R128 billion
in the next. The utility argued that Eskom has not
provided sufficient justification for this ¡°astronomical
increase¡±.
Additionally, City
Power criticised Eskom¡¯s delays in implementing the
independent power producer programme, suggesting
that funding for this initiative should be tied to
progress that can realistically occur within the tariff
implementation window.
City Power recommended
a tariff increase capped at 11% annually ¨C far below
Eskom¡¯s proposal. ¡°The recent implementation of a 12,75%
tariff increase has already placed immense financial
strain on our residents, pushing many to the brink of
economic hardship. A further increase of this magnitude is
unsustainable and morally unacceptable,¡± City Power said.
OUTA suggested Eskom
should reduce its primary energy costs by reducing its
overdependence on coal, replacing aging coal-fired power
stations with cleaner and more cost-effective
alternatives and addressing corruption in coal
procurement.
OUTA also recommended
Eskom focuses on its staffing costs. ¡°OUTA
recommends that NERSA commissions its own independent
study to assess Eskom staff¡¯s remuneration levels, hiring
policies and the potential impact of downsizing.¡±
Eskom told?Energize?that
it agrees only efficient costs should be recovered
from customers. To achieve this, the utility has
implemented various business initiatives to optimise its
costs. ¡°When applying for tariff increases, NERSA requires
that prudency assessment criteria be applied. It
is NERSA¡¯s role as the regulator to evaluate the
efficiency and prudency of Eskom¡¯s financial and technical
practices. In line with this, NERSA has conducted numerous
audits to ensure Eskom¡¯s compliance with regulatory and
licensing requirements. Additionally, Eskom undergoes
independent audits in accordance with International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and compliance with
the Public Finance Management Act (PFMA),¡± Eskom said.
According to Eskom,
the average price increase is imperative in its efforts to
migrate towards financial stability, be financially
independent and reduce its reliance on government. ¡°The
current returns are not sufficient to allow Eskom to be
financially sustainable,¡± Eskom said.
NERSA will review all
submissions and make a final determination on Eskom¡¯s
revenue application. The decision is expected to be
announced on December 20.