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Re: Quick Question - Membership
¿ªÔÆÌåÓýYes, that is a DCS code. ?We do not use CTCSS. ?The repeater is FM not digital although it uses a digital code for access. ?Most radios in the past 10 years or so have DCS capability. ?What radio do you have?I am forwarding this to our groups.io. ?Maybe someone else can help with your radio. Lee KV5M
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Colder Weather Ahead
While another outbreak of
polar air will bring unseasonably colder temperatures to the area by the
weekend, neither the ECMWF nor GFS models are forecasting any frozen
precipitation for southeast Texas.? ECMWF, however, is colder with
next week's temperatures than is the GFS. For guidance purposes, the latest tabular runs of
the two models are attached.? Updates will be provided as the weekend
approaches. Jim Robinson, W5ZYX
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Now: WCARG Meeting - Saturday, January 11, 2025
#cal-notice
Group Notification
WCARG Meeting When: Where: Organizer: Description: |
Locally Heavy Rain Likely Later Today & Tonight
Rain chances across
southeast Texas continue to increase this morning with locally heavy rain
forecast for later today--particularly along the coast.? An extremely
limited chance also continues to exist for mixed winter precipitation for
Madison, Houston and Trinity counties. The heaviest rain should occur along the
coast as showers and storms become widespread this afternoon and peak this
evening between 6 PM and midnight.? NWS forecasters believe most
locations in southeast Texas can expect to see 2-3 inches of rainfall
through early Friday morning but a chance remains for locally higher
amounts exceeding 4 inches--particularly along the coast. Two forecast images produced this morning
by the? NWS Houston-Galveston forecast office are
attached. Jim Robinson, W5ZYX
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NWS Update: Increasing rain chances Thu-Fri | Hazardous Marine Conditions Persist
I am
forwarding the weather update message for local governments that was sent
by NWS this morning.? It provides a comprehensive overview of the
evolving rain situation for Thursday and Friday/ Jim Robinson, W5ZYX Get for
Desktop -------- Original Message -------- Subject: Fw: NWS Update: Increasing rain chances Thu-Fri |
Hazardous Marine Conditions Persist Date: Wed Jan 08
2025 08:48:02 GMT-0600 (Central Standard Time) From:
"Robinson, Jim (Office of Management and Budget)"
<jim.robinson@...> To: "Jim Robinson"
<robinson.jimw@...>
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Added Folder /Jason Hampton/WCARG Certificate Templates
#file-notice
Group Notification
Jason N2TXS Hampton <im.n2txs@...> added folder /Jason Hampton/WCARG Certificate Templates Description: |
Chance for frozen precip looks over for Huntsville but continues to the north
The winter weather forecast
for southeast Texas continues to evolve and while it will remain on the
chilly side for the next several days, actual lows aren't expected to reach
the hard freeze level.? The threat of frozen precipitation has also
ended for most of southeast Texas with the exception of Madison and Houston
counties where a very low chance with little or no accumulation remains
later in the week. NWS Houston-Galveston conducted a very
informative 2 PM briefing for local government and the entire session is
available for viewing at this
link:??https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yERkAontFAg There are still considerable model differences
between GFS and the ECMWF for rainfall and the briefing helps put our
chances in better perspective.? Jim Robinson, W5ZYX
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Cold Rain Likely Wednesday night into Thursday night
Its looking more and more
like things are going to be cold and wet across southeast Texas beginning
Wednesday night into Thursday night as a low pressure disturbance moves
across the area from the Gulf.? Both GFS and ECMWF are painting
rainfall totals of 1-3 inches which much of the precip falling Thursday and
Thursday night.? While the heaviest rainfall should be closer to the
coast, both models are forecasting greater than an inch for Walker and
Madison counties. The NWS is closely monitoring the possible track
of a freezing/frozen precipitation shield that is expected to be moving
across central Texas Wednesday night into Thursday. Current thinking is
that the area from Brazos County into Madison and Houston counties could
see some freezing rain or possible sleet/snow during that period and the
latest forecasts are advertising a possible wintery mix across that area
Wednesday night/early Thursday.? The NBM model is giving College
Station a 20-25% freezing rain chance with this increasing to a 45-50%
chance around Crocket.? The potential for wintry weather is greater in
the counties north of OSR. Jim Robinson, W5ZYX |
GFS Tabular Forecast for Huntsville
To give you a weather
insight for the next 10 days I've attached the 06Z GFS tabular output for
Huntsville.? ECMWF is in general agreement as to periods of rain but
isn't forecasting any snow this week while GFS hints at a trace.? Best
guess is we won't see any but its not out of the question. Jim Robinson, W5ZYX
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Front will arrive by noon
The strong cold front
will reach Walker County by noon and be near or off the coast by
sunset.?There will
be
a?chance?for?isolated?strong?to?severe??
thunderstorms?out?ahead?of?and?along?the?cold?front?capable?of?
producing?strong?wind?gusts?or?a?brief?tornado. The
arriving polar air will result in a dramatic temperature change.? Cold
weather will be around much of this week.? In addition, a low pressure
disturbance will move through the area during midweek and bring
precipitation to southeast Texas.? While we are most likely to see
only rain from the disturbance, forecasters at the NWS Houston-Galveston
office note there is a "non-zero" chance for a wintry mix in the northern
counties including Walker. Otherwise, low temperatures this week will fall
generally into the 20s and one or more nights with a hard freeze are
likely.? The official forecast for Walker County follows: Today:?
Showers?and?thunderstorms,?mainly?before?1pm.?Temperature?rising?to?near?71?by?noon,?then?falling?to?around?53?during?the?remainder?of?the?day.?Breezy,?with?a?south?wind?15?to?20?mph?becoming?northwest?in?the?afternoon.?Winds?could?gust?as?high?as?25?mph.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?80%.?New?rainfall?amounts?between?a?tenth?and?quarter?of?an?inch,?except?higher?amounts?possible?in?thunderstorms. Tonight: Mostly?clear,?with?a?low?around?26.?Wind?chill?values?between?15?and?20.?Northwest?wind?around?15?mph,?with?gusts?as?high?as?25?mph. Monday: Sunny,?with?a?high?near?43.?Wind?chill?values?between?15?and?25.?North?wind?10?to?15?mph,?with?gusts?as?high?as?20?mph. Monday?Night: Mostly?clear,?with?a?low?around?23.?North?wind?5?to?10?mph. Tuesday: Sunny,?with?a?high?near?47.?North?wind?5?to?10?mph. Tuesday?Night: Partly?cloudy,?with?a?low?around?26. Wednesday: Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?high?near?40. Wednesday?Night: A?slight?chance?of?rain,?snow,?freezing?rain,?and?sleet?after?midnight.?Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?low?around?30.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?20%. Thursday: A?chance?of?rain,?snow,?freezing?rain,?and?sleet?before?noon,?then?rain?showers?likely.?Cloudy,?with?a?high?near?39.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?60%. Thursday?Night: Showers?likely.?Cloudy,?with?a?low?around?32.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?70%. Friday: A?30?percent?chance?of?showers.?Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?high?near?43. Friday?Night: Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?low?around?29. Saturday: Mostly?sunny,?with?a?high?near?51. NWS has decided to use new advisory language this year.? The revised definitions follow: -?Freeze?Warning:?Unlike?previous?years,?the?Hard?Freeze?and ??Freeze?Warnings?have?been?combined?into?one?Freeze?Warning ??product.?We?still?will?generally?only?issue?a?Freeze?Warning ??once?per?county?each?winter?for?when?temperatures?are??32F?for ??at?least?2?consecutive?hours.?We?have?already?issue?a?Freeze ??Warning?for?Montgomery?County?northwards?this?season.?However, ??we?will?issue?a?Freeze?Warning?again?for?when?Hard?Freezing ??conditions?(when?temperatures?fall?to??24F?for?at?least?2 ??consecutive?hours)?are?expected.?Freeze?Warnings?for?Hard ??Freezing?conditions?will?be?issued?as?many?times?as?needed ??through?the?winter?season. -?Cold?Weather?Advisory:?This?replaces?the?old?Wind?Chill ??Advisory,?and?will?be?issued?when?temperatures?or?wind?chills ??fall?are??25F?for?Harris?County?and?counties?southwards,?and ??20F?northwards?to?Houston?County.?(see ??www.weather.gov/hgx/WWA_criteria?for?a?visual?representation?of ??the?criteria) -?Extreme?Cold?Watch?or?Warning:?These?replace?the?old?Wind?Chill ??Watch?or?Warning?products,?and?will?be?issued?when?temperatures ??or?wind?chills??15F?for?Harris?County?and?counties?southwards, ??and??10F?northwards?to?Houston?County.?(see ??www.weather.gov/hgx/WWA_criteria?for?a?visual?representation?of ??the?criteria) Jim Robinson, W5ZYX |
Weather Update: Severe Weather Possible on Sunday followed by Freezing Temperatures
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Re: Want to know what DMR is and how you can get Radio Active with it!
¿ªÔÆÌåÓýThanks Rick and Jason for spearheading this venture! ?I have never used that mode but am interested! ?Will be in touch!Russ On Jan 1, 2025, at 9:34?PM, Rick WA2HRF Fell via groups.io <rickyf@...> wrote:
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Want to know what DMR is and how you can get Radio Active with it!
Back in September 2024, Jason/N2TXS and I set out to understand what DMR 'digital mobile radio' was and how we could get on the air using this mode. Linked below is a compilation of our learnings to becoming radio active with DMR. For those interested in learning more or considering venturing into using this radio mode - please reach out to either Jason to myself.
?
Thanks, Rick
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GFS Tabular Run for Huntsville
The CPC
today again updated its long range outlook to insist that very cold weather
is coming thanks to the expected southeasterly shift of the polar
vortex.? Their December 31 update graphic is attached and still gives
our area a moderate risk for unusually cold winter weather during the
January 8-14 period.? Its interesting that the meteorologist for ERCOT
was talking about this possibility over a month ago. The GFS model still isn't biting hard
on extreme cold for southeast Texas but does give our area a dusting of
snow in the 14-15 January period.? For now, rather than speculate,
I've simply attached the graphical GPS run centered on Huntsville which
covers the period in question. I will produce updates as the situation dictates but possibly
not until we see better model agreement for what really to expect in
southeast Texas.? In the meantime, the best advice is simply to
prepare for cold weather and remember the 4 Ps:? Pets, Plants, Pipes,
People. Jim Robinson,
W5ZYX Jim Robinson, W5ZYX Get for Desktop |
Re: Net Tonight
Thank you very much for those comments Lee, it was fun to do. You never know how things are going to turn out when you try something new and y'all are the best guinea pigs ever!
On Monday, December 30, 2024 at 09:31:25 PM CST, Lee KV5M Murrah via groups.io <mlmurrah@...> wrote:
The net tonight was outstanding.? Laura with her soothing, welcoming voice and Russ with his lively and humorous patter made a great team. At times I thought I was listening to News at 10 on one of the Houston TV channels. The review of the year was especially good, and I hope these two will agree to do the year-end net next year.? A tradition is born! The number of activities was amazing, and that is the main reason we continue to grow with a growing regional reputation.? Keep it up everyone. Get Radioactive!! Lee KV5M |
Net Tonight
The net tonight was outstanding. Laura with her soothing, welcoming voice and Russ with his lively and humorous patter made a great team. At times I thought I was listening to News at 10 on one of the Houston TV channels.
The review of the year was especially good, and I hope these two will agree to do the year-end net next year. A tradition is born! The number of activities was amazing, and that is the main reason we continue to grow with a growing regional reputation. Keep it up everyone. Get Radioactive!! Lee KV5M |
CPC Issues Cold Weather Outlook Which Includes Southeast Texas
While considerable variability exists this evening
among the major models, all indications point toward polar air spilling
down and bringing very cold weather to much of the central and eastern
United States.? The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is predicting that
effects will extend as far south as our area in Southeast
Texas. It may be several
days before the models come into better agreement.? As of this
evening, only ECMWF and the Canadian GEM are forecasting snow in Southeast
Texas with CPC indicating a slight risk for the January 7-9 period.?
The ECMWF forecast currently paints up to .4 inch accumulation in parts of
Southeast Texas on the 8th and
9th. The best current
advice is to prepare for cold weather with temperatures possibly falling
into the teens on some days (still very significant model disagreement on
how cold it will get and several models presently don't get nearly this
cold). See the CPC
advisory message below.? Their graphic is
attached. Jim Robinson,
W5ZYX Key?Messages?from?the?NOAA?Climate?Prediction?Center Issued?December?30,?2024 Significant?Arctic?Outbreak?to?Expand?Across?Much?of?the?Central?and?Eastern?US (a)?A?significant?pattern?change?is?expected?across?much?of?the?country?as?an?Arctic?Outbreak?is?forecast?to?spread?from?the?Northern?Plains?to?the?south?and?east,?leading?to?exceptionally?high?probabilities?of?below-normal?temperatures?expected?across?much?of?the?East. (b)?The?coldest?air?of?the?season?to?date?and?dangerous?wind?chills?are?likely?across?many?areas?of?the?Southeast.?Below?freezing?temperatures?are?possible?as?far?south?as?the?Gulf?Coast?and?much?of?the?Florida?Peninsula.?Impacts?to?highly?sensitive?citrus?crops?are?possible. (c)?Frozen?precipitation?is?possible?across?the?parts?of?the?Southern?Plains?and?Southeast?with?the?potential?for?heavy?snow?extending?northward?to?include?much?of?Appalachians,?Ohio?Valley,?Mid-Atlantic,?Great?Lakes,?and?Northeast,?potentially?leading?to?significant?travel?disruptions.?Additionally,?heavy?Lake?Effect?snow?is?likely?to?enhance?totals?for?areas?downwind?of?the?Great?Lakes?as?the?Arctic?Air?pushes?south?across?partially?unfrozen?waters. Please?review?the?NWS?Winter?Preparedness?Checklist?at?https://www.weather.gov/media/arx/winter/WinterPrepare.pdf |