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Re: Quick Question - Membership

 

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Yes, that is a DCS code. ?We do not use CTCSS. ?The repeater is FM not digital although it uses a digital code for access. ?Most radios in the past 10 years or so have DCS capability. ?What radio do you have?

I am forwarding this to our groups.io. ?Maybe someone else can help with your radio.

Lee
KV5M

On Jan 13, 2025, at 6:58 PM, Jon Bickford <jonbickford@...> wrote:

I¡¯d like to become a member - was just on the ARES call and someone mentioned you have a net tonight at 7P - I got the frequency for the repeater - but not the CTSS tone. ?I see ¡°D631/D631¡± listed¡­Is that a digital ¡°tone¡±? ?I do not have a digital radio - wondering if that repeater works on a standard tone frequency that someone can quickly get to me?

Thanks so much -?

KE5MIA - Jon


Colder Weather Ahead

 

While another outbreak of polar air will bring unseasonably colder temperatures to the area by the weekend, neither the ECMWF nor GFS models are forecasting any frozen precipitation for southeast Texas.? ECMWF, however, is colder with next week's temperatures than is the GFS.

For guidance purposes, the latest tabular runs of the two models are attached.? Updates will be provided as the weekend approaches.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX

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Now: WCARG Meeting - Saturday, January 11, 2025 #cal-notice

Group Notification
 

WCARG Meeting

When:
Saturday, January 11, 2025
9:00am to 10:30am
(UTC-06:00) America/Chicago

Where:
Walker County Storm Sherlter, 445 TX-75 Huntsville, TX GPS: 30.73614, -95.58279

Organizer:
WCARG
[email protected]

View Event

Description:
Monthly meeting of the Walker County Amateur Radio Group followed by amateur radio license testing


Locally Heavy Rain Likely Later Today & Tonight

 

Rain chances across southeast Texas continue to increase this morning with locally heavy rain forecast for later today--particularly along the coast.? An extremely limited chance also continues to exist for mixed winter precipitation for Madison, Houston and Trinity counties.

The heaviest rain should occur along the coast as showers and storms become widespread this afternoon and peak this evening between 6 PM and midnight.? NWS forecasters believe most locations in southeast Texas can expect to see 2-3 inches of rainfall through early Friday morning but a chance remains for locally higher amounts exceeding 4 inches--particularly along the coast.

Two forecast images produced this morning by the? NWS Houston-Galveston forecast office are attached.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX












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NWS Update: Increasing rain chances Thu-Fri | Hazardous Marine Conditions Persist

 

I am forwarding the weather update message for local governments that was sent by NWS this morning.? It provides a comprehensive overview of the evolving rain situation for Thursday and Friday/

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX

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-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Fw: NWS Update: Increasing rain chances Thu-Fri | Hazardous Marine Conditions Persist
Date: Wed Jan 08 2025 08:48:02 GMT-0600 (Central Standard Time)
From: "Robinson, Jim (Office of Management and Budget)" <jim.robinson@...>
To: "Jim Robinson" <robinson.jimw@...>



From: NWS Houston - NOAA Service Account <nws.houston@...>
Sent: Wednesday, January 8, 2025 7:19 AM
Subject: NWS Update: Increasing rain chances Thu-Fri | Hazardous Marine Conditions Persist
?

header.png

Good morning,

Overview
Rain chances will increase Thursday into Thursday night as a low pressure system moves across the upper Texas coast. There is a limited potential for wintry weather?over the Piney Woods region?early Thursday morning.?Expect high rain chances late Thursday as the low moves along our coastal waters. Rain will? taper off Friday morning as the low exits to our east. A colder airmass will filter across Southeast TX in the wake of the low and may result in below freezing temperatures Saturday morning for most of the local area.??

Upcoming Rain Chances & Excessive Rainfall Outlook
  • A low?pressure system is forecast to develop off the mid/south Texas coast late today and then track across the upper Texas?coastal?waters on Thursday.?Look for precipitation to overspread the area Thursday morning into Friday morning as this occurs. Rainfall can be moderate to heavy at times and could lead to minor flooding in streets and low lying?areas. It may also result in minor rises in creeks and bayous.
rain_0108.png

outlook_0108.png

Winter Weather
  • There is still some potential for wintry weather early Thursday morning, mainly over the Piney Woods area. However, the onset of the rainfall may not occur until around sunrise Thursday and temperatures by then may?be warm?enough to suppress the development of wintry?precipitation.?
  • Bottom line: Although the chance of wintry precipitation has decreased, there is still?a non-zero chance for portions of the Piney Woods.
  • Stay tuned for additional forecast updates. Point-forecast information can be found by clicking on this?.?
1-8-2025-DESI-Screenshot (1).jpeg
1-8-2025-DESI-Screenshot (2).jpeg

Cold Weather
  • Sub-freezing temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected Friday?night into Saturday morning.??
frinight.png

Marine
  • A Low Water Advisory for Galveston Bay and a Small Craft Advisory for all the waters continue in effect this morning due to moderate to occasionally strong northeast winds and elevated seas.?Moderate winds will prevail this afternoon through?Thursday morning.? ?
  • Winds will strengthen and turn east Thursday as a low pressure system tracks into the Upper TX Coast. Small Craft Advisories will be likely. Wind gusts could reach Gale strength at times. Rough bay waters and seas of 7-11ft can be expected.? ? ? ? ?
  • Strong offshore winds and elevated seas will?persist Friday.??
  • Abnormally low tides, in particular during the low tide period, may continue for the rest of the work week.??
marine_0108.png
?
image.png

Resources
  • NWS Houston Galveston Phone Numbers:?(281) 337-5074 ext. 232?or ext. 234
  • NWS Houston/Galveston Webpage:??
  • National Hurricane Center Webpage:?
  • ?(Click Your Location)
  • West Gulf River Forecast Center Webpage:??




Added Folder /Jason Hampton/WCARG Certificate Templates #file-notice

Group Notification
 

Jason N2TXS Hampton <im.n2txs@...> added folder /Jason Hampton/WCARG Certificate Templates

Description:
Team, these are the certificate templates. They are open for the club to use. Keep in mind, the files are "read only". After you download them to you computer, you will be prompted to "Save As" something else. Therefore keeping the original template file in tack. If you have any questions or concerns let me know.


Chance for frozen precip looks over for Huntsville but continues to the north

 

The winter weather forecast for southeast Texas continues to evolve and while it will remain on the chilly side for the next several days, actual lows aren't expected to reach the hard freeze level.? The threat of frozen precipitation has also ended for most of southeast Texas with the exception of Madison and Houston counties where a very low chance with little or no accumulation remains later in the week.

NWS Houston-Galveston conducted a very informative 2 PM briefing for local government and the entire session is available for viewing at this link:??https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yERkAontFAg

There are still considerable model differences between GFS and the ECMWF for rainfall and the briefing helps put our chances in better perspective.?

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX


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Cold Rain Likely Wednesday night into Thursday night

 

Its looking more and more like things are going to be cold and wet across southeast Texas beginning Wednesday night into Thursday night as a low pressure disturbance moves across the area from the Gulf.? Both GFS and ECMWF are painting rainfall totals of 1-3 inches which much of the precip falling Thursday and Thursday night.? While the heaviest rainfall should be closer to the coast, both models are forecasting greater than an inch for Walker and Madison counties.

The NWS is closely monitoring the possible track of a freezing/frozen precipitation shield that is expected to be moving across central Texas Wednesday night into Thursday. Current thinking is that the area from Brazos County into Madison and Houston counties could see some freezing rain or possible sleet/snow during that period and the latest forecasts are advertising a possible wintery mix across that area Wednesday night/early Thursday.? The NBM model is giving College Station a 20-25% freezing rain chance with this increasing to a 45-50% chance around Crocket.? The potential for wintry weather is greater in the counties north of OSR.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX











GFS Tabular Forecast for Huntsville

 

To give you a weather insight for the next 10 days I've attached the 06Z GFS tabular output for Huntsville.? ECMWF is in general agreement as to periods of rain but isn't forecasting any snow this week while GFS hints at a trace.? Best guess is we won't see any but its not out of the question.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX

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Front will arrive by noon

 

The strong cold front will reach Walker County by noon and be near or off the coast by sunset.?There will be a?chance?for?isolated?strong?to?severe?? thunderstorms?out?ahead?of?and?along?the?cold?front?capable?of? producing?strong?wind?gusts?or?a?brief?tornado.

The arriving polar air will result in a dramatic temperature change.? Cold weather will be around much of this week.? In addition, a low pressure disturbance will move through the area during midweek and bring precipitation to southeast Texas.? While we are most likely to see only rain from the disturbance, forecasters at the NWS Houston-Galveston office note there is a "non-zero" chance for a wintry mix in the northern counties including Walker.

Otherwise, low temperatures this week will fall generally into the 20s and one or more nights with a hard freeze are likely.? The official forecast for Walker County follows:

Today:? Showers?and?thunderstorms,?mainly?before?1pm.?Temperature?rising?to?near?71?by?noon,?then?falling?to?around?53?during?the?remainder?of?the?day.?Breezy,?with?a?south?wind?15?to?20?mph?becoming?northwest?in?the?afternoon.?Winds?could?gust?as?high?as?25?mph.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?80%.?New?rainfall?amounts?between?a?tenth?and?quarter?of?an?inch,?except?higher?amounts?possible?in?thunderstorms.

Tonight:
Mostly?clear,?with?a?low?around?26.?Wind?chill?values?between?15?and?20.?Northwest?wind?around?15?mph,?with?gusts?as?high?as?25?mph.

Monday:
Sunny,?with?a?high?near?43.?Wind?chill?values?between?15?and?25.?North?wind?10?to?15?mph,?with?gusts?as?high?as?20?mph.

Monday?Night:
Mostly?clear,?with?a?low?around?23.?North?wind?5?to?10?mph.

Tuesday:
Sunny,?with?a?high?near?47.?North?wind?5?to?10?mph.

Tuesday?Night:
Partly?cloudy,?with?a?low?around?26.

Wednesday:
Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?high?near?40.

Wednesday?Night:
A?slight?chance?of?rain,?snow,?freezing?rain,?and?sleet?after?midnight.?Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?low?around?30.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?20%.

Thursday:
A?chance?of?rain,?snow,?freezing?rain,?and?sleet?before?noon,?then?rain?showers?likely.?Cloudy,?with?a?high?near?39.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?60%.

Thursday?Night:
Showers?likely.?Cloudy,?with?a?low?around?32.?Chance?of?precipitation?is?70%.

Friday:
A?30?percent?chance?of?showers.?Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?high?near?43.

Friday?Night:
Mostly?cloudy,?with?a?low?around?29.

Saturday:
Mostly?sunny,?with?a?high?near?51.

NWS has decided to use new advisory language this year.? The revised definitions follow:

-?Freeze?Warning:?Unlike?previous?years,?the?Hard?Freeze?and
??Freeze?Warnings?have?been?combined?into?one?Freeze?Warning
??product.?We?still?will?generally?only?issue?a?Freeze?Warning
??once?per?county?each?winter?for?when?temperatures?are??32F?for
??at?least?2?consecutive?hours.?We?have?already?issue?a?Freeze
??Warning?for?Montgomery?County?northwards?this?season.?However,
??we?will?issue?a?Freeze?Warning?again?for?when?Hard?Freezing
??conditions?(when?temperatures?fall?to??24F?for?at?least?2
??consecutive?hours)?are?expected.?Freeze?Warnings?for?Hard
??Freezing?conditions?will?be?issued?as?many?times?as?needed
??through?the?winter?season.

-?Cold?Weather?Advisory:?This?replaces?the?old?Wind?Chill
??Advisory,?and?will?be?issued?when?temperatures?or?wind?chills
??fall?are??25F?for?Harris?County?and?counties?southwards,?and
??20F?northwards?to?Houston?County.?(see
??www.weather.gov/hgx/WWA_criteria?for?a?visual?representation?of
??the?criteria)

-?Extreme?Cold?Watch?or?Warning:?These?replace?the?old?Wind?Chill
??Watch?or?Warning?products,?and?will?be?issued?when?temperatures
??or?wind?chills??15F?for?Harris?County?and?counties?southwards,
??and??10F?northwards?to?Houston?County.?(see
??www.weather.gov/hgx/WWA_criteria?for?a?visual?representation?of
??the?criteria)


Jim Robinson, W5ZYX



Weather Update: Severe Weather Possible on Sunday followed by Freezing Temperatures

 

Rather than write my own analysis I am forwarding the latest outlook for local government from the forecasters at NWS/HGX.? Updates will be provided if the forecast picture changes.

Jim Robinson, W5ZY

header.png


Bottom Line
A strong cold front will push into Southeast Texas on Sunday ushering in much colder temperatures that will last well into next week. A few?strong to severe storms are possible ahead of and along the boundary of the cold front on Sunday.?

What Has Changed Since Previous Email?
  • There is a slight risk of severe weather north of I-10 and east of I-45 on Sunday with a marginal risk elsewhere.?
  • Forecast remains on track for much colder temperatures throughout next week.
Overview
As a strong cold front approaches Southeast Texas on Sunday, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible ahead of and along its boundary. A few of these storms could?become strong to severe in the morning to afternoon hours, especially north of I-10 and east of I-45. The Storm Prediction?Center has outlined?this area in a slight risk of severe weather (level 2 out of 5). A marginal risk of severe weather (level 1 out of 5) exists elsewhere. The main hazards will be damaging winds and brief tornadoes.

SundaySevWXOutlook.png

Behind the cold front, much colder air filters into Southeast Texas with low temperatures at or below freezing possible as early as Sunday night and well into next week. This includes the potential for multiple nights of below-freezing temperatures in portions of Southeast Texas deep into next week,?but temperatures will rise above freezing during the daytime hours mainly into the 40s. The low end of the low temperature range looks to fall between the mid 20s to low 30s.?

There remains quite a bit of uncertainty on the potential for wintry precipitation around the middle of next week as it all depends on how far northward a coastal system in the western Gulf moves. While the probabilities for wintry precipitation on Wednesday/Thursday are low, they are not zero, so be sure to stay up to date on the latest forecasts.

ProbSnow.jpeg

Below are some probabilistic temperature outlooks that show the probabilities of below-freezing temperatures Sunday night through Wednesday night. The higher the probability, the higher our confidence for seeing below-freezing temperatures. Monday night and Tuesday night have the greatest potential for widespread sub-freezing temperatures. A?deterministic?temperature outlook is also being included to show what we have in our current forecast (which has trended slightly cooler from yesterday's forecast).

The bottom line is to prepare for an extended period of colder temperatures, some of which will include periods of below freezing temperatures.?

Probability of Below-Freezing Temperatures (Sunday Night)
1-3-2025-DESI-Screenshot (6).jpeg

Probability of Below-Freezing Temperatures (Monday Night)
1-3-2025-DESI-Screenshot (7).jpeg

Probability of Below-Freezing Temperatures (Tuesday Night)
1-3-2025-DESI-Screenshot (9).jpeg

Probability of Below-Freezing Temperatures (Wednesday Night)
1-3-2025-DESI-Screenshot (10).jpeg

Deterministic Temperature Outlook (Saturday-Thursday)
HGX Weather Graphics Working File 
(6).png

Down below are some tips on how to prepare for the upcoming cold weather.

4 Ps Freeze Safety.png

Hazardous Marine Conditions
In the wake of the front, moderate to strong northerly to northeasterly winds will prevail late Sunday into Monday morning with the potential for gale-force gusts in the Gulf waters and low waters in the bays during low tide. Mariners can expect a period of caution to advisory level conditions due to elevated winds and seas into next week. Seas may build to 7-10 feet in the Gulf waters Sunday into Monday as moderate to strong offshore flow prevails.

GaleForceProbs.jpeg

LowWater.png



Re: Want to know what DMR is and how you can get Radio Active with it!

 

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Thanks Rick and Jason for spearheading this venture! ?I have never used that mode but am interested! ?Will be in touch!

Russ

On Jan 1, 2025, at 9:34?PM, Rick WA2HRF Fell via groups.io <rickyf@...> wrote:

?
Back in September 2024, Jason/N2TXS and I set out to understand what DMR 'digital mobile radio' was and how we could get on the air using this mode. Linked below is a compilation of our learnings to becoming radio active with DMR. For those interested in learning more or considering venturing into using this radio mode - please reach out to either Jason to myself.
?
Thanks, Rick


Want to know what DMR is and how you can get Radio Active with it!

 

Back in September 2024, Jason/N2TXS and I set out to understand what DMR 'digital mobile radio' was and how we could get on the air using this mode. Linked below is a compilation of our learnings to becoming radio active with DMR. For those interested in learning more or considering venturing into using this radio mode - please reach out to either Jason to myself.
?
Thanks, Rick


GFS Tabular Run for Huntsville

 

The CPC today again updated its long range outlook to insist that very cold weather is coming thanks to the expected southeasterly shift of the polar vortex.? Their December 31 update graphic is attached and still gives our area a moderate risk for unusually cold winter weather during the January 8-14 period.? Its interesting that the meteorologist for ERCOT was talking about this possibility over a month ago.

The GFS model still isn't biting hard on extreme cold for southeast Texas but does give our area a dusting of snow in the 14-15 January period.? For now, rather than speculate, I've simply attached the graphical GPS run centered on Huntsville which covers the period in question.

I will produce updates as the situation dictates but possibly not until we see better model agreement for what really to expect in southeast Texas.? In the meantime, the best advice is simply to prepare for cold weather and remember the 4 Ps:? Pets, Plants, Pipes, People.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX


Jim Robinson, W5ZYX



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Tower bid update

 

The tower bid now stands at $1350.00


Re: Net Tonight

 

I agree with Lee! ?Great net last night!
?


Re: Net Tonight

 

Thank you very much for those comments Lee, it was fun to do. You never know how things are going to turn out when you try something new and y'all are the best guinea pigs ever!

On Monday, December 30, 2024 at 09:31:25 PM CST, Lee KV5M Murrah via groups.io <mlmurrah@...> wrote:


The net tonight was outstanding.? Laura with her soothing, welcoming voice and Russ with his lively and humorous patter made a great team. At times I thought I was listening to News at 10 on one of the Houston TV channels.

The review of the year was especially good, and I hope these two will agree to do the year-end net next year.? A tradition is born!

The number of activities was amazing, and that is the main reason we continue to grow with a growing regional reputation.? Keep it up everyone.

Get Radioactive!!

Lee
KV5M








Net Tonight

 

The net tonight was outstanding. Laura with her soothing, welcoming voice and Russ with his lively and humorous patter made a great team. At times I thought I was listening to News at 10 on one of the Houston TV channels.

The review of the year was especially good, and I hope these two will agree to do the year-end net next year. A tradition is born!

The number of activities was amazing, and that is the main reason we continue to grow with a growing regional reputation. Keep it up everyone.

Get Radioactive!!

Lee
KV5M


CPC Issues Cold Weather Outlook Which Includes Southeast Texas

 

While considerable variability exists this evening among the major models, all indications point toward polar air spilling down and bringing very cold weather to much of the central and eastern United States.? The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is predicting that effects will extend as far south as our area in Southeast Texas.

It may be several days before the models come into better agreement.? As of this evening, only ECMWF and the Canadian GEM are forecasting snow in Southeast Texas with CPC indicating a slight risk for the January 7-9 period.? The ECMWF forecast currently paints up to .4 inch accumulation in parts of Southeast Texas on the 8th and 9th.

The best current advice is to prepare for cold weather with temperatures possibly falling into the teens on some days (still very significant model disagreement on how cold it will get and several models presently don't get nearly this cold).

See the CPC advisory message below.? Their graphic is attached.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX





Key?Messages?from?the?NOAA?Climate?Prediction?Center
Issued?December?30,?2024

Significant?Arctic?Outbreak?to?Expand?Across?Much?of?the?Central?and?Eastern?US

(a)?A?significant?pattern?change?is?expected?across?much?of?the?country?as?an?Arctic?Outbreak?is?forecast?to?spread?from?the?Northern?Plains?to?the?south?and?east,?leading?to?exceptionally?high?probabilities?of?below-normal?temperatures?expected?across?much?of?the?East.

(b)?The?coldest?air?of?the?season?to?date?and?dangerous?wind?chills?are?likely?across?many?areas?of?the?Southeast.?Below?freezing?temperatures?are?possible?as?far?south?as?the?Gulf?Coast?and?much?of?the?Florida?Peninsula.?Impacts?to?highly?sensitive?citrus?crops?are?possible.

(c)?Frozen?precipitation?is?possible?across?the?parts?of?the?Southern?Plains?and?Southeast?with?the?potential?for?heavy?snow?extending?northward?to?include?much?of?Appalachians,?Ohio?Valley,?Mid-Atlantic,?Great?Lakes,?and?Northeast,?potentially?leading?to?significant?travel?disruptions.?Additionally,?heavy?Lake?Effect?snow?is?likely?to?enhance?totals?for?areas?downwind?of?the?Great?Lakes?as?the?Arctic?Air?pushes?south?across?partially?unfrozen?waters.

Please?review?the?NWS?Winter?Preparedness?Checklist?at?https://www.weather.gov/media/arx/winter/WinterPrepare.pdf


Re: MARS Mod - FT-991a - completed

 

Thanks for sharing! That is a very interesting feature. I will have to look into that. The video seems pretty straight forward.?
?
--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237