Can you check your data for R-S9509? There's been no change in that clade for at least 5 years as I manage both of the bigY kits.? (Unless the change is due to some FF result that I cannot see.)
On Sun, Dec 10, 2023, 6:37 AM Ewenn <gwenng008@...> wrote:
[Edited Message Follows]
A quick analysis of R-Z18, between November 29 and December 8, 2023, a branch which seems instructive to me on the contribution of FF tests.
Stats (including all subclades): Kits: +599 bigY: +7
Countries:
EKA¡¯s Origin
Country code
?
2023-11-29
?
2023-12-08
?
Increase
Unknown Origin
X
?
1054
?
1554
?
47.44%
Sweden
SE
?
192
?
213
?
10.94%
United States
US
?
186
?
205
?
10.22%
England
ENG
?
229
?
242
?
5.68%
Norway
NO
?
92
?
99
?
7.61%
Scotland
SCT
?
141
?
146
?
3.55%
Germany
DE
?
102
?
106
?
3.92%
United Kingdom
GBR
?
77
?
81
?
5.19%
Netherlands
NL
?
31
?
34
?
9.68%
Ireland
IE
?
50
?
53
?
6.00%
Switzerland
CH
?
30
?
32
?
6.67%
Denmark
DK
?
19
?
21
?
10.53%
Wales
WLS
?
14
?
16
?
14.29%
Poland
PL
?
15
?
17
?
13.33%
Finland
FI
?
39
?
41
?
5.13%
Northern Ireland
NIR
?
9
?
11
?
22.22%
Russian Federation
RU
?
5
?
7
?
40.00%
Belgium
BE
?
4
?
5
?
25.00%
Italy
IT
?
8
?
9
?
12.50%
Estonia
EE
?
4
?
5
?
25.00%
Venezuela
VE
?
0
?
1
?
---
Spain (La Rioja)
---
?
0
?
1
?
---
Argentina
AR
?
0
?
1
?
---
~16.5% of new kits having declared their EKA's country of origin.
Clades:
Clade
? kits
? bigY
?
Increase
?
TMRCA
R-Z18
208
0
?
38.31%
?
~2231 BCE [-2870 ; -1675]
R-S5684
54
0
?
450.00%
?
~67 BCE [-477 ; 277]
R-CTS2158
53
0
?
240.91%
?
~742 BCE [-1264 ; -301]
R-CTS12023
40
0
?
86.96%
?
~686 BCE [-1182 ; -266]
R-L257
40
0
?
26.49%
?
~1395 BCE [-1950 ; -917]
R-Z372
36
0
?
120.00%
?
~1564 BCE [-2118 ; -1084]
R-ZP30
35
0
?
269.23%
?
~102 BCE [-501 ; 236]
R-Z375
26
0
?
108.33%
?
~172 BCE [-550 ; 151]
R-S11601
22
0
?
91.67%
?
~1381 BCE [-1987 ; -865]
R-ZP48
18
0
?
450.00%
?
~569 CE [141 ; 909]
R-S3207
15
0
?
---
?
~990 BCE [-1505 ; -549]
R-ZP8
10
0
?
200.00%
?
~94 BCE [-467 ; 223]
R-S4037
8
0
?
72.73%
?
~405 BCE [-933 ; 34]
R-S4031
6
0
?
600.00%
?
~1241 BCE [-1795 ; -767]
R-S5750
5
0
?
62.50%
?
~1069 CE [857 ; 1245]
R-Z378
4
0
?
50.00%
?
~845 BCE [-1328 ; -431]
R-ZP261
3
0
?
150.00%
?
~1576 CE [1398 ; 1710]
R-FT111760
2
0
?
40.00%
?
~1739 CE [1579 ; 1853]
R-S9509
2
0
?
100.00%
?
~1912 CE [1784 ; 1985]
R-S6358
2
0
?
18.18%
?
~867 CE [649 ; 1052]
R-S3514
1
0
?
25.00%
?
~878 CE [389 ; 1243]
R-FT131424
1
1
?
---
?
~787 BCE [-1818 ; 5]
R-BY111283
1
1
?
100.00%
?
~1074 CE [619 ; 1407]
R-ZP78
1
1
?
33.33%
?
~1049 CE [826 ; 1234]
R-SK1171
1
0
?
---
?
~1010 CE [618 ; 1307]
R-FT61322
1
0
?
50.00%
?
~741 CE [190 ; 1153]
R-S5673
1
0
?
50.00%
?
~247 BCE [-687 ; 125]
R-FTB29811
1
1
?
50.00%
?
~1253 CE [784 ; 1579]
R-BY17442
1
1
?
---
?
~92 CE [-458 ; 531]
R-FTD44136
1
1
?
50.00%
?
~280 BCE [-1449 ; 565]
R-BY41942
1
1
?
50.00%
?
~1847 CE [1524 ; 1994]
Barred clades are, a priori, those concerned by the addition of bigY tests (7 in total in the time interval considered).
NOTA:
For SNP Z18 (R-Z18 only, without sub-clades), the SNP Map tool shows +20 kits with a precise location of their EKA, or +25.6%, between November 14 and December 10. No modification observed on equivalent SNPs (e.g.: Z14, Z16, ...), which give ¡°exotic¡± Haplogroups (R-Z14, R-Z16).
R-ZP261: TMRCA ~1576 CE, block of 19 equivalent SNPs, +3 kits. Parent clade: R-ZP161, TMRCA ~124 BCE. These 3 kits most likely do not test positive for these 19 SNPs, based on a simple FF test. It seems a priori possible that one or more of these 3 kits could split the current R-ZP261 block (unless they are close relatives of agnatic lines having passed a bigY test).