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Re: Friday Five October 25


 

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With respect, Celeste, no, you don't. ?Impossible.

cgpt:

The number of ancestors a living human can be said to have increases exponentially as you go back in time, but there are several complicating factors that make an exact count impossible:


1. Exponential Growth in Ancestors: Every person has two parents, four grandparents, eight great-grandparents, and so on. Mathematically, the number of ancestors doubles with each generation. In theory, after n generations, you would have 2^n ancestors. For example:

? 2 parents (1st generation)

? 4 grandparents (2nd generation)

? 8 great-grandparents (3rd generation)

? and so forth.

2. Overlapping or ¡°Collapsing¡± Pedigree: At some point, due to population sizes and historical trends (like endogamy or small, isolated populations), the number of theoretical ancestors exceeds the total human population of a given time period. This means many of your ancestors are repeated in your family tree. In other words, you share common ancestors with yourself many times over. This phenomenon, called ¡°pedigree collapse,¡± results from ancestors marrying distant relatives.

3. Population Bottlenecks: Events like pandemics, migrations, or other factors reduce the number of people in a population, limiting the pool of ancestors at certain points in history.

4. Finite Human History: Homo sapiens as a species is estimated to have emerged around 300,000 years ago. While humans had many generations, the total population size was much smaller for most of human history, especially prior to the advent of agriculture around 10,000 years ago.


A Simplified Example


If we consider 25 years as an average generational span:


? 10 generations back (250 years ago) would give you 1,024 ancestors.

? 20 generations back (500 years ago) would theoretically give 1,048,576 ancestors.

? However, 30 generations back (~750 years) would give over 1 billion theoretical ancestors, which exceeds the global population at that time, indicating heavy pedigree collapse.


In summary, while each individual technically has an exponentially increasing number of ancestors going back in time, overlapping pedigrees mean that the actual number of distinct ancestors is far smaller than what pure mathematics would suggest, especially for more distant generations.



On Oct 30, 2024, at 11:30, a1thighmaster via groups.io <thighmaster@...> wrote:

? David,

I know where all of them came from.

Aloha,
Celeste


On 10/29/2024 6:59 PM, David Smith via groups.io wrote:

Celeste, surely you do not know the identity of all of your ancestors.


On Oct 30, 2024, at 00:50, Celeste wrote:

? Ed,

Nobody was owned by one of my ancestors. Sorry to disappoint you.


On 10/29/2024 9:50 AM, Ed Lomas wrote:
So you are sure that you understand slavery and discrimination better than I do, so you feel you have to tutor me on the basics so that I'll agree with you?

If my question makes no sense to you there is an alternative reason other than I'm not making any sense to anyone.?

I feel no guilt whatsoever over how someone else's ancestors treated another someone else's ancestors.? Guilt does not transcend generations. We don't inherit guilt or obligation, nor do I expect someone to pay me because their ancestor wronged my ancestor.

If you believe that reparations should be considered on a societal level, ?then you should believe reparations should be considered on a personal level. If you ran into someone whose ancestor was owned by one of your ancestors, how much should you, as a descendent, be willing to pay that other person to alleviate the damage that your slave-owning ancestor did to that other person?? Just give me a rough figure- would $20,000 square things up?


On Tue, Oct 29, 2024 at 8:35?AM Celeste wrote:
Ed,

I've already explained how the disadvantages of slavery (destroying families) and a couple of centuries of segregation and discrimination have put black Americans at a disadvantage. I guess you skipped over that because you don't want to acknowledge that.

Your question about how big a check I would write makes no sense whatsoever. You keep going back to feeling guilty even though you don't want to admit it.


On 10/27/2024 12:09 PM, Ed Lomas wrote:
The former slaves are all long gone.? Why should their descendants deserve compensation for the suffering of their great grandparents?? If it could be proven that your ancestor had owned a slave, would how large a check would you personally be willing to write to that slave's descendants?


On Sunday, October 27, 2024, Celeste wrote:
Ed,

No, I don't think it's a bell that can't be unrung. The only people who were ever enslaved and actively segregated were African-Americans. If they have African-American ancestry then that's the group that would be eligible to get the subsidy. There is no blame needed for this to happen.


On 10/27/2024 9:15 AM, Ed Lomas wrote:
How can unfairness be quantified, who is to blame, and how far back do we have to go?? Slavery in the USA ended five generations ago.? Second, how do you handle mixed-race people, especially those who are unaware that they are of mixed race?? How about the Irish, Jews, Italians, and those who suffered discrimination due to their religious or political beliefs, like Mormons, Huguenots, and Communists.
What about handicapped people, including stutters, those with autism, and aspergers, and what about those with multiple sources of impairment?

Doesn't it seem to you that this is just a bell that can't be unrung?

Celeste wrote:
Darrell,

It really doesn't matter if their ancestors are alive or not. When you've been discriminated against (as I have, for example) it is fair to try to make up for that unfairness. Nobody (except perhaps you) is condemning those who are alive now as being responsible for that unfairness. That doesn't mean it didn't happen and shouldn't be rectified, though.


On 10/27/2024 5:27 AM, Darrell King wrote:
I can agree with that statement, Celeste, as it is formatted as verifiable and objectively present-moment. Your reference to "...discriminated against and haven't had the same advantages as others..." would, in my mind, address people alive now?who are being treated in a manner at odds with my values.?

Not only people...this past week we rescued a small dog shivering in the mountain cold at a state park in New Mexico. I do not condemn all campers using the campground nor do I assess whether?society at large should be condemned?for animal abuse since I do not know if all members of society were involved in losing or abandoning the pup. I simply rescued?the critter?and did what I consider proper (he is safely with a protective advocate now.)

I am a Caucasian?middle class male U.S. citizen. I use the male pronouns I was taught apply to me in grade school English classes. I feel protective of women and children (and lost puppies!), and I try to respect those around?me. Even other drivers!? Despite all this, I do not consider myself as advantaged. I grew up very poor in a backwoods rural?community with social anxiety, bullying?and the strike of being from "the wrong side of the tracks." For the most part, I have earned any positive changes I benefit from, although?I acknowledge having help from others (including social breaks) whenever such benefited me.?

I did not get any free rides due to my disadvantages, nor do I expect to be lifted up or reimbursed by the descendants of any who abused my ancestors--those people currently breathing were not part of those historical stories. This is an accepted fact in a culture where time travel?or common extreme longevity are not likely truths. Basically, I deal with today and do not try to atone?for the sins of my ancestors.

I agree that it is likely that many citizens, regardless of belonging to groups noted for historic mistreatment, have the potential to become successful entrepreneurs. Hell, I did it in software despite?not initially believing?I could succeed at such a lofty ambition. I am fine with supporting an entrepreneur if I can and approve of society stimulating such resources for the benefit of all. I simply think we need to be aware that there is (in my judgement) an ongoing effort to twist the story of historic treatment into a manipulative and demonstrably logically invalid behavioral lever of guilt.

With all respect, I never mistreated anyone in the 1700's or 1800's and therefore, if the figurative and generic 'you' want my support for some modern-day effort, you had better use a more clearly and rationally expressed argument than that of emphasizing my nonexistent complicity with whatever trials your ancestors went through!

Thank you for the sensible discussion, Celeste!


Celeste wrote:
Darrell,

I don't feel guilty about their mistreatment either. I just don't understand why anyone would be against helping those who have been discriminated against and haven't had the same advantages as others. Africans who were brought to America suffered a lot of loss and then weren't allowed to even try to make up for it. I think there were plenty around who would have liked to become entrepreneurs.


On 10/26/2024 12:59 PM, Darrell King wrote:
I believe you mean to say you are in favor of helping the descendants?of people who were mistreated in the U.S. before your parents arrived, Celeste. Therein lies my quibble: we have been conditioned to ignore this distinction as though I was port?of that mistreatment. I was not and I hope that even if I had been alive and adult back in that day, I would?not have contributed to mistreatment.

I often help people on an individual basis. I share frequently when able. This?is not out of any sense of guilt or responsibility?related to the behaviors of my social?or biological ancestors, however, but rather?originates on my personal?values on the subject. I admit to feeling a little put out when somebody insists I owe?some person or group because some predecessor?acted a certain way. Even if I disapprove of some historical behavior, such as the treatment uf North American indigenous people by European immigrants, I am still not personally liable for those immigrants' behaviors.

Doesn't mean I am against helping them or anyone. Just means that?rationally I may deal with the fallout (karma?) from history but I do not feel guilty about someone else's actions!

D


On Sat, Oct 26, 2024 at 11:56?AM Celeste wrote:
Darrell,

Your response sounds incredibly bigoted. My ancestors weren't even in the U.S. until the 20th century and I'm still in favor of helping peoples who were mistreated in the U.S. before they arrived. And, of course, that includes the indigenous peoples. You, however, I am disappointed in.

On 10/26/2024 7:27 AM, Darrell King wrote:
And Darrell wondered: I am curious how many eligible?black entrepreneurs were around during the "slavery and discrimination eras" to lose time thusly??

Sorry, Celeste! It is a pet peeve of mine that the sins of the fathers?are carried to the sons! While I do believe in continuous improvement?on a social level, I consider myself as bearing absolutely no personal responsibility for any alleged sins my forefathers may have been involved?in! I certainly do not oppose?entrepreneurism in any group and so I am wary of this constant effort to make amends?for those sins to a generation that had no exposure to said sins.

I suppose social assistance for deserving entrepreneurs no matter ethnicity or other social factors. Base such support?on the validity and value of the business plan, sure. I suppose I lean rightward on the idea that I should make up for the idea that a given population deserves to be lifted out of their woes simply because of historical mistreatment?of a population with similarities. I try to treat people decently as part of my personal morality, but I am not responsible for how others have treated people.

Having vented all that, I would support forgivable loans for ideas assessed solely?on their business plans and ongoing monitoring of their use without consideration of ethnicity or similar?'disadvantaged' factoring..?

Celeste Answered to?Is Harris's offer of forgivable $20,000 loans to black men the equivalent of shiny beads to Indians??with "No, not in any way. It's for black entrepreneurs. It gives them a chance to make up for lost time during the slavery and discrimination eras."

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