On Mar 2, 2022, at 7:37 AM, ravi_jmt2013 <ravi@...> wrote:

?My last trip, I started on August 16, 2019 from South Lake, a high snowpack year, and was annoyed by mosquitos the first night in Dusy Basin (I picked a beautiful but bug prone campsite) but mosquitoes were not much of an issue after that going southbound. I’m starting on August 18 this year, southbound from Mammoth, and I don’t anticipate many bug issues. I don’t think mosquitoes are a huge concern after early August except in very heavy snowpack years.?

On Mar 2, 2022, at 09:08, Sam Molinari <sammolinari@...> wrote:

? Last year there were no skeeters on the northern part of the trail in the third week of July but plenty of flys.

On Mar 2, 2022, at 7:37 AM, ravi_jmt2013 <ravi@...> wrote:

?My last trip, I started on August 16, 2019 from South Lake, a high snowpack year, and was annoyed by mosquitos the first night in Dusy Basin (I picked a beautiful but bug prone campsite) but mosquitoes were not much of an issue after that going southbound. I’m starting on August 18 this year, southbound from Mammoth, and I don’t anticipate many bug issues. I don’t think mosquitoes are a huge concern after early August except in very heavy snowpack years.?

As I am working thru the amazing amount of logistics on my first major thru hike Planning travel both air public and private transportation, where to camp, food drops, ?spreadsheeting daily meals and tracking Calories and macronutrients I am discovering at age 60 my inner nerd I never knew existed.
John by tracking snowfall and correlating hiker reports on mosquitoes takes it to a whole new level. American volunteerism at its best. De Tocqueville would be proud. Thanks.
On Thu, Mar 3, 2022 at 9:22 AM John Ladd <johnladd@... <mailto:johnladd@...>> wrote:
We are analyzing that right now from the survey. It looks like
reported mosquito severity is much lower with trailhead entries
starting about July 15 in the low snowpack years.
Later, of course, in the high snowpack years. Also start later in
high snowpack years.
For the gradually growing reports of year-to-year problem
correlations see this FB album or Drive folder. We will add
entry-date seasonal comparisons soon to the same album and drive folder

Also found in this shared Google Drive album
Go to

Open folder #6
Open folder Multi-year reports
I've had a lot of volunteers from one of the FB groups to take on
survey-related or drive-maintenance tasks. I was surprised and
pleased to get a number of people who have taken on specialized
tasks that I don't know how to do and people willing to do
relatively boring stuff that relieves my load so I can focus on the
survey
What I still need is
Someone with experience in drawing non-linear trend lines in
scattergraphs that conform to the data rather than to any particular
standard math pattern (e.g., I don't know that any of my findings
are exponential). The effects of pack weight on daily mileage are
very non-linear and age-related problems are presumably also
non-linear with problems decreasing up to at least age 55 or 60 and
perhaps increasing after that (age 70 in my personal experience)
Someone who could develop predictive models (presented as online
calculators) that would use survey data to give an estimate of
something like expected daily mileage given relevant factors like
age, pack weight, pre-hike exercise, body mass index.
--
John Curran Ladd
1616 Castro Street
<,+CA+94114-3707?entry=gmail&source=g>
San Francisco, CA
<,+CA+94114-3707?entry=gmail&source=g>
94114-3707
<,+CA+94114-3707?entry=gmail&source=g>
415-648-9279

On Mar 3, 2022, at 7:45 AM, Andrew Paisley <andrew.paisley866@...> wrote:

As I am working thru the amazing amount of logistics on my first major thru hike Planning travel both air public and private transportation, where to camp, food drops, ?spreadsheeting daily meals and tracking Calories and macronutrients I am discovering at age 60 my inner nerd I never knew existed.?

John by tracking snowfall and correlating hiker reports on mosquitoes takes it to a whole new level. American volunteerism at its best. De Tocqueville would be proud. Thanks.?

On Thu, Mar 3, 2022 at 9:22 AM John Ladd <johnladd@...> wrote:

We are analyzing that right now from the survey. It looks like reported mosquito severity is much lower with trailhead entries starting about July 15 in the low snowpack years.

Later, of course, in the high snowpack years. Also start later in high snowpack years.

For the gradually growing reports of year-to-year problem correlations see this FB album or Drive folder. We will add entry-date seasonal comparisons soon to the same album and drive folder



Also found in this shared Google Drive album

Go to



Open folder #6

Open folder Multi-year reports

I've had a lot of volunteers from one of the FB groups to take on survey-related or drive-maintenance tasks. I was surprised and pleased to get a number of people who have taken on specialized tasks that I don't know how to do and people willing to do relatively boring stuff that relieves my load so I can focus on the survey

What I still need is

Someone with experience in drawing non-linear trend lines in scattergraphs that conform to the data rather than to any particular standard math pattern (e.g., I don't know that any of my findings are exponential). The effects of pack weight on daily mileage are very non-linear and age-related problems are presumably also non-linear with problems decreasing up to at least age 55 or 60 and perhaps increasing after that (age 70 in my personal experience)

Someone who could develop predictive models (presented as online calculators) that would use survey data to give an estimate of something like expected daily mileage given relevant factors like age, pack weight, pre-hike exercise, body mass index.

--?
John Curran Ladd

??
415-648-9279