Mother Nature has conjured
up what could turn out to be a very bad day across a broad swath of central
and southeast Texas.? The attached Day-1 convective outlook image from
SPC shows that Madison and Walker counties are near the center line of an
enhanced risk (Level 3 of 5) area and all severe weather forms are possible
including large hail, damaging winds, excessive rainfall, and possible
strong tornadoes.? In addition to the enhanced severe risk, a flash
flood watch is in effect north of IH 10.
A?strong?storm?system?will?be?moving?across?the?region?bringing?scattered?to?widespread?showers?and?thunderstorms
The?environment?is?conducive?to?produce?severe?thunderstorms?later?this?morning?into?the?evening?hours.?Therefore,?
storms?could?become?strong?to?severe?as?they?move/develop?across?the?region.?All?types?of?severe?weather?hazards?arepossible?today.?There?is?an?elevated?risk?of?tornadoes,?possibly?becoming?strong,?along?with?damaging?winds,?large?hail?and?localized?heavy?rainfall.?Estimated?rainfall?totals?of?up?to?1?to?3?inches?are?expected,?with?isolated?3?to?6?inches?in?
the?Watch?area.?The?best?window?for?severe?weather?and?heavy?rainfall?is?from?11?AM?to?10?PM?this?evening.?A?few?
showers/storms?(non-severe)?will?still?be?possible?overnight.?
However, even non-severe storms can drop considerable rain in a short
period of time.? Last night, roughly between 10 and 11 PM, my
automatic gauge located three miles east of Buc-ee's in Madison County
picked up 3.11 inches with its internal computer occasionally measuring a
rainfall rate of more than 13 inches an hour.? Fortunately, bursts of
that magnitude were short lived.
WEDNESDAY:
Showers,?locally?heavy?and?thunderstorms?will?continue?early?Wednesday?morning,?with?the?best?focus?for?along?the
coast.?Strong?to?severe?storms?and?locally?heavy?rain?will?be?possible,?mainly?in?the?morning?hours?as?the?main?cold?
front?moves?through.?
Jim Robinson,, W5ZYX
