Severe Weather Outlook
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I decided to
write an early morning update on the severe weather potential over the next
few days.? For today and Friday, a frontal boundary will be just north
of Southeast Texas and just close enough to keep thunderstorm chances alive
in portions of the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods.? Today's severe
risk, however, appears limited to the parts of Houston County north of
Crockett where the SPC has placed Houston County in a marginal risk (level
1 of 5) for severe weather today. For Friday the
front will have moved a little closer and the marginal risk of severe
weather will extend further south to generally north of a
Columbus-Conroe-Livingston line.? The best opportunity for a few
storms to become strong to severe would be in the afternoon to evening
hours. By early Saturday morning the previously
stationary cold front should reach Southeast Texas and severe weather and
locally heavy rainfall will pose a risk with the highest probability north
of IH10.and up into the Piney Woods. The front should reach the Houston
metropolitan area by mid-day and be along the coastal area by the
afternoon.? Rain should be tapering off from west to east by Saturday
night. Saturday's weather presents the possibility
for all types of severe hazards including damaging winds, large hail,
locally heavy rain, and isolated tornadoes. As indicated in the attach SPC
Day-3 graphic, all of Southeast Texas will be under a slight risk (level 2
of 5) with an enhanced level 3 risk not far from our east extending from
deep East Texas into Louisiana, Arkansas, and
Mississippi. The Houston-Galveston forecast office
(HGX) earlier this morning produced an experimental precipitation graphic
(attached) which shows the probable average rainfall accumulation acrosss
the area through Saturday. Jim Robinson,
W5ZYX
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On Apr 3, 2025, at 06:58, Bill KI5ADB Jones via groups.io <2heavyb@...> wrote:
-- Steven K9UNI |
Steven K9UNI Prindle