Significant model
inconsistency continues regarding the possibility of wintry precipitation
across southeast Texas Monday night into Tuesday but the risk of a hard
freeze continues--particularly north of IH10. The latest run of the GFS
model keeps the frozen precipitation risk down toward Houston and produces
none in the northern-most counties of southeast Texas.? ECMWF also
produces most of its wintry precipitation over the southern counties but
does extend some light coverage into the northern counties.? Then,
there's the Canadian that tries to kick out darn near 2 feet of snow
generally north of Walker county with a sharp cutoff to the south and the
German icon producing close to 3 inches over the northern counties.?
Just for fun I've attached the 12Z Canadian model image.
NWS this morning issued released the attached
hard freeze image which depicts current temperature forecast
thinking.
