¿ªÔÆÌåÓý

ctrl + shift + ? for shortcuts
© 2025 Groups.io

ARRL¡¯s Simulated Emergency Test (SET) is October 5 - 6, 2024

 

Team,

Interesting article from the ARRL:

Has WCARG participated in this previously? Do we have plans to participate this year?


--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
*Seek to be better today, than you were yesterday
N2TXS, WSCT237
830-992-1334

TEXAS PATRIOTS ROOM:
WIRES-X 60755 OR YSF 60755



--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237


Re: NanoVNA-H4 - Network Analyzer - New toy - used to check Antenna SWR, Coax TDR etc.

 

The ¡°WHAT¡± and ¡°WHY¡± ?of antenna system analysis using the NanoVNA tool.
Youtube instructional video parts I and II.
Each are ~1 hr long¡­ stick with it, a middle school physics teacher on a zoom call with a UK ham club. These are not ¡®how to¡¯ use the tool video¡¯s, rather, what components can be tested, what tests to run, interpreting the results, and understanding what the results are telling you.?
?


Re: NanoVNA-H4 - Network Analyzer - New toy - used to check Antenna SWR, Coax TDR etc.

 

Rick,
?
Thanks for sharing. This seems like a great tool!
--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237


NanoVNA-H4 - Network Analyzer - New toy - used to check Antenna SWR, Coax TDR etc.

 

My new toy, the NanoVNA-H4. I checked SWR on my G5RV dipole, and a used "go-box" antenna I picked up at this past weekend's Houston County swap meet. Neat tool but required watching a half-dozen Youtube video's to figure out how to use it to test antenna SWR, Smith charting, impedance and the TDR feature to check coax length and integrity.?
?
I can't speak to its accuracy, however a few Youtubers did a comparison with their Rig Expert brand analyzers and found the test results comparable. I also installed the 3rd party PC software that provided the ability to operate the device and real-time full-screen graphic charts as I moved dipole legs around. Also has the ability to export images to record baselines.
?
I now know why my dipole will not tune-up on 30m (see chart attached).
?
<$100 on Amazon:
?
?
?


Now: WCARG Meeting - Saturday, September 14, 2024 #cal-notice

Group Notification
 

WCARG Meeting

When:
Saturday, September 14, 2024
9:00am to 10:30am
(UTC-05:00) America/Chicago

Where:
Walker County Storm Sherlter, 445 TX-75 Huntsville, TX GPS: 30.73614, -95.58279

Organizer:
WCARG
[email protected]

View Event

Description:
Monthly meeting of the Walker County Amateur Radio Group followed by amateur radio license testing


[W5SC] JOTA 2024 Oct 19th

 

Info from the SADRC if anyone is interested.?


Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
-Freedom Isn't Free
*Seek to be better today, than you were yesterday
N2TXS, WSCT237
830-992-1334

TEXAS PATRIOTS ROOM:
WIRES-X 60755 OR YSF 60755


Sent from an Android mobile device. Please excuse brevity and disregard any spelling or grammatical errors.

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Bill Craft via <billc851=[email protected]>
Date: Fri, Sep 13, 2024, 10:05
Subject: [Special] [W5SC] JOTA 2024 Oct 19th
To: <[email protected]>


OTA-JOTI is the world¡¯s largest digital Scout event taking place online and over the air. The educational event brings together more than 2 million Scouts every year in October for a weekend of Scouting and friendship. Young people can learn about communications technology and connect with fellow Scouts from over 174 countries.

JOTA will be held at the McGimsey Scout Park Cub Pavilion, 10810 Wedgewood San Antonio, TX 78213. We will be setting up the stations on Saturday the 19th from 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM

Anyone wanting to participate can operate a station as much or little as they want.

Any adult working will need to take the Youth Protection Training online and send John Douglas the certification.

Information on requirements, map, etc

?


--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237


Re: Running your generator for extended periods during a major outage

 

¿ªÔÆÌåÓý

I was in the cellphone business seemingly in another life. We had A/C and Transmitters loads in these sites, and were using 40 kW generators with 500 gallon propane tanks, enough for two days or so. In Charleston, SC after Hurricane Hugo all of our sites were on generator and we had to get some political influence to get deliveries before the two days ran out, due to demand and supply issues.

So we upgraded our tanks to 1,000 gallon. The issues was not the two day capacity, per se, but the first two days were a disaster.

?

- Wes, W5ZZO

?

From: [email protected] <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Rick WA2HRF Fell
Sent: Tuesday, September 10, 2024 7:16 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [w5hvl] Running your generator for extended periods during a major outage

?

I had my 500gal LP tank topped off today. 80% on the gauge = full = 400 gallons. Prior to filling, the gauge was reading 60%. I consume ~ 8-10% per 24/hrs running the whole house with the A/C. ?The LP tech (Lamb Propane in Coldspring), reported during warmer months, I can run the tank to empty without pressure loss. Below 20 degrees F, your generator may stop at 10%. I think I¡¯ll still request a refill when under 60% prior to a weather event.

?

Related, link to Generac¡¯s article on extended run maintenance. Keep oil on-hand, shut down daily for an hour, top off oil as needed. Depending on hours run, an oil change may be needed. It¡¯s a quick DIY option.


?


Running your generator for extended periods during a major outage

 

I had my 500gal LP tank topped off today. 80% on the gauge = full = 400 gallons. Prior to filling, the gauge was reading 60%. I consume ~ 8-10% per 24/hrs running the whole house with the A/C. ?The LP tech (Lamb Propane in Coldspring), reported during warmer months, I can run the tank to empty without pressure loss. Below 20 degrees F, your generator may stop at 10%. I think I¡¯ll still request a refill when under 60% prior to a weather event.
?
Related, link to Generac¡¯s article on extended run maintenance. Keep oil on-hand, shut down daily for an hour, top off oil as needed. Depending on hours run, an oil change may be needed. It¡¯s a quick DIY option.

?


Models closely aligned for Louisiana landfall

 

The four major global models are closely aligned on an eventual track of what is to be Francine into Louisiana, likely between Lake Charles and Vermillion Bay.? ?If the storm takes this northeasterly turn as expected, southeast Texas will remain on the storm's subsident west side with minimal inland impact.? Still, because the anticipated turn might fail to occur, we do need to continue to monitor developments.? Track confidence will increase once the storm becomes fully organized.

In the meantime, we will enjoy one more low humidity day and cool night tonight.? On Tuesday and Wednesday, local conditions will be dictated by the storm's path.

A mid/upper ridge will build over Texas in the wake of the departing tropical system, with low level onshore flow returning by the end of the week.? By week's end we should be in a relatively hot and humid pattern with inland high temperatures averaging around 90. and overnight lows in the low to mid 70s.? Closer to the coast daytime highs are expected to be in the mid to uppers 80s with lows in the upper 70s.?

7 AM NHC DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
22.0 North, longitude 94.9 West.? The system is moving toward the
north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h).? A slow northwestward to
northward motion is expected over the next day or so, followed by a
faster motion to the northeast beginning late Tuesday.? On the
forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move just offshore of
the northern Gulf Coast of Mexico through Tuesday, and approach the
Louisiana and Upper Texas coastline on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.?
The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later today,?
with more significant intensification forecast to occur on Tuesday?
and Wednesday. The system is forecast to become a hurricane before?
it reaches the northwestern U.S. Gulf Coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours... high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

A full advisory will be issued by the NHC at 10 AM CDT today.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX









&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 443 AM CDT Mon Sep 9 2024

By Wednesday, Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 6 is forecast to
become a hurricane in the northwest Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, an UL
(300-200MB) zonal jet (currently draped across southern CONUS) is
expected to become increasingly amplified, digging an UL trough over
Texas. The resulting UL steering coupled with the approach of ML
shortave trough will curve the storm to the northeast. As to be
expected, uncertainty exists regarding the sharpness of the storm`s
northeast turn. Therefore, a track close to the Texas Coast remains
on the table. But a sharp enough turn to the northeast would keep
the most significant impacts to our east, a scenario that is
currently supported by most of the model guidance. However, let`s
not get too comfortable with this farther east scenario just yet
since our coastal counties remain in play for heavy rain, strong
winds, and coastal flooding on Wednesday. Confidence in the
predicted track should increase once we have an organized surface
circulation.

PLEASE check the forecast frequently for the latest updates in this
continuously evolving situation. Also follow hurricanes.gov for more
information regarding the tropics.

A mid/upper ridge builds over Texas in the wake of our departing
tropical system, while LL onshore flow returns by the end of the
week. This should set the stage for a relatively hot and humid
pattern by week`s end. Inland highs are expected to average around
90 with lows low/mid 70s (mid/upper 80s highs, upper 70s lows near
the coast).



Get for Desktop


Re: Introduction to Digital Radio Modes

 

Thank you Rick!

On Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 08:44:26 AM CDT, Rick WA2HRF Fell <rickyf@...> wrote:


Below linked presentation given by a fellow a TX-RACES member. David approved sharing this information and offered his email address if you would like to reach out to him with any questions.

David Eddleman <david.eddleman@...> wrote: Here's a link to the slides to the presentation I've given at the Cowtown Hamfest the last two years.? Here's a recorded presentation from the last showing:?


NHC Initiates Advisories on Developing Gulf Cyclone

 

At 4 PM today the NHC initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 6, which will officially be renamed Tropical Storm Francine--probably on Monday--as the system gains strength.? It should become a hurricane on Tuesday.? The 7 PM intermediate advisory is included below.

The system is still in the organization stage and satellite images indicate that convection associated with its poorly defined center is elongated north to south.

Potential wind impacts to southeast Texas will be highly dependent on the storm's future track.? Preliminary NHC wind arrival and probabilities graphics are attached.

For southeast Texas, our rainfall chances will increase into Tuesday-Thursday but the amount we receive will depend on the track and structure of the system.? If the storm develops a well defined center which remains offshore, most of our rainfall should occur near the coast but it is still to early to forecast rainfall amounts for a particular area.? Generally, though, our storm related rainfall should be ending on Thursday.? Please see the notes on rainfall potential in the message I sent this morning and the attached initial rainfall forecast graphic.

Residents in southeast Texas should closely monitor developments with this system.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL? ? ? ?AL062024
700 PM CDT Sun Sep 08 2024

...SYSTEM GRADUALLY ORGANIZING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF?
MEXICO...
...INCREASING RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING
WINDS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS BY MID-WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 94.7W
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SSE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM S OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Barra del Tordo northward to the Mouth of the Rio Grande

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the elongated disturbance was centered
near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 94.7 West.? The system is moving
toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h).? A slow northwestward
to northward motion is expected over the next day or so, followed?
by a faster motion to the northeast beginning late Tuesday. On the?
forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move just offshore of?
the northern Gulf Coast of Mexico through Tuesday, and approach the?
Upper Texas and Louisiana coastline on Wednesday.

Air Force reconnaissance data indicate that maximum sustained winds
are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected
to become a tropical storm on Monday, with more significant
intensification forecast to occur on Tuesday.? The system is
forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the northwestern
U.S. Gulf Coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.??

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km),
primarily west of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:? Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area along the northern coast of Mexico beginning Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Six is expected to bring
storm total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts to 12
inches, from the coast of far northeast Mexico northward along
portions of the Texas Coast and into Louisiana through Thursday.
This rainfall would lead to the risk of flash and urban flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Potential Tropical Cyclone Six, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero.

STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible along the Mexico
coast within areas of onshore flow.

SURF:? Swells generated by this system are affecting portions of the
Gulf coast of Mexico and are expected to spread northwestward across
the northwestern Gulf of Mexico coastline through midweek.? These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.? Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Re: Development likely but track uncertain

 

Definitely but I¡¯m somewhat optimistic that the center pass south of Galveston. I¡¯m planning on another update later today.

Jim, W5ZYX

On Sun, Sep 8, 2024 at 3:32?PM Jim KI5NC Lanier via <jim=[email protected]> wrote:

Hey Jim, we must watch the weather forecast over the next several days.

Jim KI5NC and Pat KJ5GKL

?

?

From: [email protected] <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Jim Robinson via
Sent: Sunday, September 8, 2024 10:04 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [w5hvl] Development likely but track uncertain

?

The 7 day odds of disturbance 91L developing into Francine rose to 90% this morning in the NHC's 8 AM tropical weather outlook, with an 80% chance of development through 48 hours.

?

Looking at the latest model runs, all four of the major global models now develop the system into a tropical storm.? ECMWF and GDPS are favoring a track that would bring the center very near or over the Houston-Galveston region and eventually into Louisiana while GFS and ICON are keeping the center off shore and ultimately moving it into Louisiana around Vermillion Bay.

?

Looking specifically at southeast Texas, our weather on Tuesday and Wednesday will clearly depend on 91L's eventual track, and some effects could continue into Thursday depending on development.? As I have consistently noted, it is extremely difficult to forecast a track, timing and impact for a tropical system that has yet to even develop.

?

This uncertainty also extends to forecasting possible rainfall coverage.? In a worst case scenario those parts of southeast Texas near the coast could potentially receive up to 12 inches of rain with 3-4 inches extending as far inland as the Brazos Valley.? On the other hand, in the low case scenario there might not be any rain north of the Houston metro area and perhaps not much more than an inch or so along the coast.? Given the track spread in the models, both of these scenarios are within the realm of possibility.

?

In the meantime, we wait for Mother Nature to do her thing.

?

The latest tropical weather outlook follows below.

?

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX

?

?

?

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

?

Corrected category for the 48 hour probability for AL92

?

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

?

1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):

Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association?

with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf?

of Mexico. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward?

during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are?

expected to become conducive for additional development. A tropical?

depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the?

system moves generally northwestward and then northward near or?

along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the?

week. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf Coast should?

closely monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be?

required for portions of the western Gulf coast later today or?

tonight. An Air-Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is also?

scheduled to investigate the system later today.?

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.?

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

?

2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):?

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low?

pressure over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show some?

signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for?

additional development of this system, and a tropical depression?

could form while the system meanders over the central tropical?

Atlantic through Monday and then begins to move generally westward?

at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.?

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

?

3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of?

the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized?

showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very?

little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts?

with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of?

Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected?

to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a?

tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the?

week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.?

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

?

?

Forecaster Papin

?

?

?

Get for Desktop


Re: Development likely but track uncertain

 

¿ªÔÆÌåÓý

Hey Jim, we must watch the weather forecast over the next several days.

Jim KI5NC and Pat KJ5GKL

?

?

From: [email protected] <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Jim Robinson via groups.io
Sent: Sunday, September 8, 2024 10:04 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [w5hvl] Development likely but track uncertain

?

The 7 day odds of disturbance 91L developing into Francine rose to 90% this morning in the NHC's 8 AM tropical weather outlook, with an 80% chance of development through 48 hours.

?

Looking at the latest model runs, all four of the major global models now develop the system into a tropical storm.? ECMWF and GDPS are favoring a track that would bring the center very near or over the Houston-Galveston region and eventually into Louisiana while GFS and ICON are keeping the center off shore and ultimately moving it into Louisiana around Vermillion Bay.

?

Looking specifically at southeast Texas, our weather on Tuesday and Wednesday will clearly depend on 91L's eventual track, and some effects could continue into Thursday depending on development.? As I have consistently noted, it is extremely difficult to forecast a track, timing and impact for a tropical system that has yet to even develop.

?

This uncertainty also extends to forecasting possible rainfall coverage.? In a worst case scenario those parts of southeast Texas near the coast could potentially receive up to 12 inches of rain with 3-4 inches extending as far inland as the Brazos Valley.? On the other hand, in the low case scenario there might not be any rain north of the Houston metro area and perhaps not much more than an inch or so along the coast.? Given the track spread in the models, both of these scenarios are within the realm of possibility.

?

In the meantime, we wait for Mother Nature to do her thing.

?

The latest tropical weather outlook follows below.

?

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX

?

?

?

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

?

Corrected category for the 48 hour probability for AL92

?

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

?

1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):

Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association?

with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf?

of Mexico. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward?

during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are?

expected to become conducive for additional development. A tropical?

depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the?

system moves generally northwestward and then northward near or?

along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the?

week. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf Coast should?

closely monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be?

required for portions of the western Gulf coast later today or?

tonight. An Air-Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is also?

scheduled to investigate the system later today.?

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.?

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

?

2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):?

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low?

pressure over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show some?

signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for?

additional development of this system, and a tropical depression?

could form while the system meanders over the central tropical?

Atlantic through Monday and then begins to move generally westward?

at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.?

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

?

3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of?

the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized?

showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very?

little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts?

with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of?

Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected?

to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a?

tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the?

week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.?

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

?

?

Forecaster Papin

?

?

?

Get for Desktop


Development likely but track uncertain

 

The 7 day odds of disturbance 91L developing into Francine rose to 90% this morning in the NHC's 8 AM tropical weather outlook, with an 80% chance of development through 48 hours.

Looking at the latest model runs, all four of the major global models now develop the system into a tropical storm.? ECMWF and GDPS are favoring a track that would bring the center very near or over the Houston-Galveston region and eventually into Louisiana while GFS and ICON are keeping the center off shore and ultimately moving it into Louisiana around Vermillion Bay.

Looking specifically at southeast Texas, our weather on Tuesday and Wednesday will clearly depend on 91L's eventual track, and some effects could continue into Thursday depending on development.? As I have consistently noted, it is extremely difficult to forecast a track, timing and impact for a tropical system that has yet to even develop.

This uncertainty also extends to forecasting possible rainfall coverage.? In a worst case scenario those parts of southeast Texas near the coast could potentially receive up to 12 inches of rain with 3-4 inches extending as far inland as the Brazos Valley.? On the other hand, in the low case scenario there might not be any rain north of the Houston metro area and perhaps not much more than an inch or so along the coast.? Given the track spread in the models, both of these scenarios are within the realm of possibility.

In the meantime, we wait for Mother Nature to do her thing.

The latest tropical weather outlook follows below.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX



Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

Corrected category for the 48 hour probability for AL92

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association?
with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf?
of Mexico. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward?
during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are?
expected to become conducive for additional development. A tropical?
depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the?
system moves generally northwestward and then northward near or?
along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the?
week. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf Coast should?
closely monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be?
required for portions of the western Gulf coast later today or?
tonight. An Air-Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is also?
scheduled to investigate the system later today.?
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.?
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):?
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low?
pressure over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show some?
signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for?
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression?
could form while the system meanders over the central tropical?
Atlantic through Monday and then begins to move generally westward?
at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.?
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of?
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized?
showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very?
little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts?
with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of?
Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected?
to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a?
tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the?
week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.?
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Papin



Get for Desktop


Introduction to Digital Radio Modes

 

Below linked presentation given by a fellow a TX-RACES member. David approved sharing this information and offered his email address if you would like to reach out to him with any questions.

David Eddleman <david.eddleman@...> wrote: Here's a link to the slides to the presentation I've given at the Cowtown Hamfest the last two years.? Here's a recorded presentation from the last showing:?


Development Chance Now 80%

 

The NHC has assigned designation AL91 to the low pressure area in the Bay of Campeche and is giving the system a 60% chance of development over the next 48 hours and 80% over the next 7 days.

All four of the major global models now agree that development will occur with solutions ranging from a tropical depression (ECMWF), tropical storm (GDPS and ICON) and low end hurricane (GFS).? The 18Z run of ECMWF only extends out 90 hours so isn't yet forecasting a landfall but the other three models are trending toward the Beaumont-Lake Charles area.? The NHC's HWFI 18Z model is forecasting landfall on the middle Texas coast. While GFS seems to favor a landfall close to Lake Charles, it does bring the center fairly close to Galveston.? The model solutions will become clearer once a closed low actually develops.

We should begin feeling some affects from the developing system by Tuesday as deep tropical moisture from the approaching low gets closer to the Texas coast.? Rain chances will be increasing and is likely to be heavy at times, especially along the coast.? The WPC has placed a marginal risk (Level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall along the coast for Monday and Monday night,?

The excessive rainfall risk increases to slight (Level 2 of 4) on Tuesday for areas in southeast Texas along and south of I-10.? For Wednesday, the slight risk area is extended to include most of southeast Texas along and east of the US-59/I-69 corridor with a marginal risk for the remainder the area with the exception of the Brazos Valley.? Bear in mind that these forecasts may change considerably as the system develops and the models get a better handle on its future track.

The 8 PM EDT tropical weather outlook follows below.

Jim Robinson,, W5ZYX

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
An area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche is?
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance?
is forecast to drift slowly northward during the next several days?
while it interacts with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions?
are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a?
tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves?
generally northward near or along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas?
through the middle of next week. Interests along the western Gulf of?
Mexico coast should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.?
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:?
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low?
pressure over the central tropical Atlantic has begun to show signs?
of organization. Gradual additional development is possible while?
the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic through?
Monday and then moves generally westward at about 10 mph through the?
rest of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.?
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of?
low pressure are located several hundred miles southwest of?
the Cabo Verde Islands. The disturbance is expected to move very?
little during the next few days until it potentially interacts with?
a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of?
Africa by early Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be?
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical?
depression could form by the middle or late portions of next week.?
The system is expected to begin moving slowly westward by the end?
of the week.??
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Get for Desktop


Gulf storm formation this week becoming more likely

 



If the GFS, Canadian, and German models are firing on all cylinders this morning (which hasn't been the case with several tropical systems this season), we can look for something ranging from a depression to a low end hurricane visiting the upper Texas coast by perhaps Wednesday/early Thursday.? Looking at the latest runs, only the 00Z Euro model hasn't jumped on the tropical storm bandwagon.

A tropical wave now located in the Bay of Campeche is forecast to interact with yesterday's cold front, which made for a very pleasant Friday afternoon and evening in southeast Texas.? The NHC believes that environmental conditions in the Gulf will subsequently become favorable for formation of a closed system and is forecasting a 40% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 60% chance through seven days.? The full tropical outlook is included below.

If it forms, where will it make landfall?? The German Icon, which may have been the best performing tropical model this season, tracks a tropical storm up along the coast and brings it ashore near the mouth of the Sabine around mid-day Wednesday.? The Canadian GDPS is a little slower and slightly farther west with landfall, with its latest run showing a tropical storm coming into Galveston Bay a little after daylight Thursday.? The American GFS is in close track agreement with the Icon and puts the center of a tropical storm at the mouth of the Sabine early Thursday.? The latest ECMWF, while not developing its tropical disturbance, still brings a glob of rain up along the coast in a manner similar to the other models.

The bottom line is that at minimum, it should be wet in coastal Texas during mid-week.

The latest model runs actually reflect pretty good agreement over something that has yet to form so future developments out in the Gulf definitely will bear close watching and both timing and future track are still evolving.

Jim Robinson, W5ZYX


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave over the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized?
showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is forecast to?
develop while the wave interacts with a frontal boundary during?
the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to?
be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form?
during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves?
slowly northwestward to northward over the southwestern Gulf of?
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.?
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern and central?
tropical Atlantic is producing a broad area of shower and?
thunderstorm activity. A more well-defined area of low pressure may?
form within this region during the next few days. Some slow?
development of this system is possible while the disturbance?
meanders through the early part of next week, then begins to move?
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during the?
middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.?
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Bucci


SARC Tailgate _ Encino Park Library

 

¿ªÔÆÌåÓý

Team,


Details:

The SARC (San Antonio Radio Club) is having a HAM Tailgate event on September 21st at the Encino Park Library, from 8am - 1pm. If you have any questions or concerns please reach out to: Doug N8IQT@...

Description
TAILGATE EVENT
Admission: Buyers FREE - Sellers-$5 donation
To support library programs
Commercial Vendors welcome
?
SARC 's third Tailgate event for those interested in selling or buying some used ham radio gear and equipment. This is an opportunity for sellers to bring their Ham gear, open their trunks and let your stuff find a new home! Buyers can walk the parking lot looking for good deals from local hams you can trust.

Date and Time
Saturday, September 21st, 2024 08:00 - 13:00
(UTC-05:00) Central Time - Chicago

Location:
Encino Branch Library
2515 E Evans Rd
San Antonio, TX 78259


-- 
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WSCT237
830-992-1334

--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237


Getting Started with WPSD & YSF

 

Team,

I got this from our sister club SADRC in San Antonio. It has some great information on the "new" WPSD software - for anyone wishing to learn about it.

--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WSCT237
830-992-1334



--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237


GMRS: Licensees comment on FCC's linked repeaters guidance

 

¿ªÔÆÌåÓý

More info on the new Part 95 ruling for GMRS repeaters.

Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WSCT237
830-992-1334


-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: GMRS: Licensees comment on FCC's linked repeaters guidance
Date: Sat, 31 Aug 2024 15:30:55 +0000
From: National Communications Magazine <natcommag@...>
Reply-To: National Communications Magazine <reply+2g6ze9&4cecn4&&860817e8dcf6803a0315a51f39286620674573259a5e11e5c5731dfe05b3ff1d@...>
To: im.n2txs@...



--
Catch you on the air,
Jason Hampton
*Freedom Isn't Free
N2TXS, WXCT237