Question of the week from Lloyd, KC5FM:? What did you learn from Hurricane Ian?
Voice Check-ins
Primary Net Control Operator:
1.??? KB9LXH>Joe, McKee KY, liaison with NWS-Jackson, KY reported: Skies: Clear. Wind: calm. Temperature: 43F Humidity: 69% Barometer: 30.13 inHg and steady. The high temperature was 58F, low 33F. Pcpn since 12 AM: 0.00¡±; last 7-days: 0.00¡±; MTD: 0.00¡± YTD: 44.25¡±
Backup Net Control Operator:
2.??? KI1U>Mike, Coventry, RI: 43F and calm wind.
Director of Net Operations for the VOIP Hurricane Prep Net:
3.??? KD1CY>Rob, New Bedford, MA, provided a review of weather conditions in the New England area where beneficial rainfall fell this past week, easing drought conditions. Rob then provided tropical updates for the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico, Eastern North Pacific, and Central Pacific regions.
A.?? At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Julia was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 82.0 West, or about 20 miles (30 km) WSW of San Andres Island, Columbia and about 125 miles (200 km) ENE of Bluefields, Nicaragua.
a.??? Julia was moving toward the west at near 17 mph (28 km/h). ?A continued westward motion with some decrease in forwarding speed is expected during the next couple of days.? On the forecast track, the center of Julia is expected to reach the coast of Nicaragua overnight, move across Nicaragua on Sunday, and then move near or along the Pacific coasts of Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala through Monday.
b.??? Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast until landfall in Nicaragua. Weakening is expected once Julia moves inland, but it is forecast to be a tropical storm still when it moves off the Pacific coast of Nicaragua late Sunday. Julia should weaken to a tropical depression on Monday and dissipate by Monday night.
c.??? Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (50 km) from the center, while tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center).
d.??? The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 989 mb (29.20 inches).
e.??? Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
B.?? Elsewhere in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico, no additional tropical cyclone formations are not expected during the next 5 days
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C.?? For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
a.??? Off the coast of Central America and Southern Mexico, Hurricane Julia is located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and is forecast to cross portions of Central America late tonight and Sunday.? Although the system is forecast to dissipate over the extreme eastern Pacific (near the Gulf of Tehuantepec) in two to three days, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of the remaining disturbance as it passes to the south of southern Mexico by the middle of next week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
b.??? Beyond this potential event, no additional tropical cyclone formations are expected during the next 5 days.
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D.?? From the NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu HI for the central North Pacific between 140W and 180W:
a.??? No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.
VOIP Hurricane Net Management Team Member:
4.??? KC5FM>Lloyd, Arkansas City, KS provided ¡°Question of the Week¡± (above) and the Storm Prediction Center Outlook for the Continental United States (CONUS):
A.?? For tonight (Saturday), organized severe thunderstorms are not expected.
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B.?? For Sunday (Day 2), the severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be low.
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C.?? On Monday (Day 3), no severe thunderstorms are expected on Monday and Monday night across the continental United States.
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D.?? As for Days 4 through 8 or Tuesday through Sunday, September 18, 2022, as of net time, the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely for the forecast period (i.e., less than 15%).
SKYWARN/CANWARN Coordinators and NWS Liaisons:
5.??? WA3TOY>Kurt, Pasadena, MD?SKYWARN Sub-Net Coordinator, Anne Arundel County, MD reported 52F and clear.
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6.??? KO4UMQ>Woody, Baxter, KY, ARES EC and SKYWARN Coordinator for Harlan County KY reported: Clear skies and calm wind. Temperature 49F; Dew Point 26.9F and a Humidity of 41.9%. The barometer was steady at 30.01 inHg. The daytime high temperature was 68F from a low temperature of 45F. Rainfall since 12 AM was 0.00 inches. The 7-day total was 0.32 inches for a MTD total of 0.55 inches. No net activations for severe weather occurred in the last seven days. Local SKYWARN net this past Sunday (10/2) resulted in 14 stations checking in. Answer to the Question of the Week: ¡°learned a lot¡±
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7.??? KC8CMQ>John, Lewiston, MI, Coordinator with NWS-Gaylord, reported: 46F, expecting a low temperature overnight tonight of 35F, a high temperature on Sunday of 56F, and a Sunday night low temperature of 29-30F. John also reported that the Upper Peninsula of Michigan received 0.5 inches of snowfall this past week. Answer to the Question of the Week: ¡°listened in and learned a lot¡±
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International Stations:
8.??? NP3OD>Francisco, San Juan, PR reported: Skies were partly cloudy with an East wind at 2 MPH, Temperature: 79.0F. Humidity 87% Barometer 29.95 inHg with 0.06 inches of precipitation received. Answer to the Question of the Week: Never underestimate hurricane forecasts (especially given as to what happened in Puerto Rico with Hurricane Fiona).
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CONUS Stations:
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9.??? W1HAI>Joe, Natick, MA reported a daytime high temperature of 60F.
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10. N6UTC>Endaf, Long Beach, CA reported clear skies. Temperature 78F or 26C. Answer to the Question of the Week: Heard about non-hams and their use of the Zello app as a method of communication in and out of the Hurricane Ian impact zones in Florida and the Carolinas.
Text Box Check-ins
1.??? KJ4CHS>Tom, North Chesterfield, VA reported: 55F with a few clouds and patchy frost.
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2.??? KB1PA>Barry, West Delray Beach, FL reported: a Wet Bulb Temperature of 75F. The barometer was?30.02 inHg and rising with received 0.45 inches of rain received today.
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3.??? N1YLQ>¡°Sparky¡±, Acushnet, MA: checked in and out via text.
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4.??? KJ4PWY>Mike, Magnolia, TX reported: 82F, clear skies, and calm wind
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Check-in totals: 14 (10 Voice and 4 Text Box)
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Joe Warren / KB9LXH???????????????????????????????
Primary Net Control Operator
E: kb9lxh@...? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ??
M: 859.365.0030
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