Lots of "hand waving" data here. Suggest you take a look at:
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There is also an extensive study buried in the "Journal of the Franklin Institute". I remember reading 20,000 ampere per microsecond average rise times. I think I recall calculating the volts per meter on a #6 ga. copper ground (vertical) at 10kV per meter resistive and 100kv/m inductive and a final temp of 180 F afterwards.
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I still wonder the grad student who was watching a Tektronics oscilloscope connected to the .001 ohm current sense resistor at the base of the lightning tower. There is mention in the paper that one giant bolt exploded the special resistor.?
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There are also "super bolts" that you just can't protect from, but fortunately they are very rare and mostly sky to sky.
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My personal antenna lightning solution is to always disconnect all feed lines and drag the ends 20 feet from the house. I live at the top of a 900 foot hill and used to get struck about two or three times a year. Many, many telephone lines replaced. As my grandparents said, "If the telephone rings during a thunderstorm, do not answer it!". For years, until I rebuilt the kitchen, there was a 1/4" melted burn at the edge of the kitchen sink caused by a lightning exploded telephone. The family dog was never the same after that.
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Jim/VEZ