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Friday Five April 8


 

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On Thu, 07 Apr 2022 18:09:17 -0400, chapman@... wrote:
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1.? ? What one book have you been reading lately that most impressed you?

2.? ? ?Can you depend on your ability to tell when someone is lying to you?

3.? ? ?Have you been to a movie in a theater in the last year?

4? ? ? ?Do you think the world ecinomy will be in recession within six months?

5? ? ? ?Are you worried that the war in Ukraine will spread to more countires?


 

1.? ? What one book have you been reading lately that most impressed you?

"The Signal and the Noise: Why so Many Predictions Fail- but Some Don't" - Nate Silver

2.? ? ?Can you depend on your ability to tell when someone is lying to you?

When I look for it, I can spot it more often, but not when people believe their lies, and then I have to rely on context.

3.? ? ?Have you been to a movie in a theater in the last year?

No.

4? ? ? ?Do you think the world ecinomy will be in recession within six months?

Very possibly, but runaway inflation is much more likely in the short run, followed by recession.

5? ? ? ?Are you worried that the war in Ukraine will spread to more countires?

I don't think it will, but if it does, the results could be catastrophic. ?

Ed

On Thursday, April 7, 2022, mrvnchpmn <chapman@...> wrote:
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On Thu, 07 Apr 2022 18:09:17 -0400, chapman@... wrote:
?
1.? ? What one book have you been reading lately that most impressed you?

2.? ? ?Can you depend on your ability to tell when someone is lying to you?

3.? ? ?Have you been to a movie in a theater in the last year?

4? ? ? ?Do you think the world ecinomy will be in recession within six months?

5? ? ? ?Are you worried that the war in Ukraine will spread to more countires?


 


On Thu, 07 Apr 2022 18:09:17 -0400, chapman@... wrote:

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1.? ? What one book have you been reading lately that most impressed you?

Nothing too intense as most of my newly-retired time is being spent building a skoolie. A fictional?series by a new author Kyla Stone is doing better than I had hoped. I am currently on?Edge of Madness and it revolves around rural Montana protagonists following a mysterious EMP event. Shoot me for enjoying cheap thrills. :)

2.? ? ?Can you depend on your ability to tell when someone is lying to you?

I have been fairly good with this, so yes.I am naturally wary, however. I did spend quite a bit of time with Paul Ekman's microexpression tools and with his mooks at one point. I feel the experience was enlightening and I did improve in this area. .

3.? ? ?Have you been to a movie in a theater in the last year?

No. Have not even considered it mor more than a passing moment, best I can recall.?

4? ? ? ?Do you think the world ecinomy will be in recession within six months?

Unrest maybe, fluctuating and responding to social chaos, but I am not learned enough in this area to make a prediction clearly appropriate to the question.?

5? ? ? ?Are you worried that the war in Ukraine will spread to more countires?

Not worried, but wary. Turkey is sheltering, several countries seem to be in serious civil turmoil, several dictatorial regime leaders are likely to take their own wary note of the sanctions against Russian leaders personally, the threat of high-impact?WMD use needs to be considered in this question, international volunteer?and mercenary?involvement could lead to an unexpected avenue for an unofficial world war of sorts, and those with existing grudges like North Korea for South Korea or China for Taiwan may still take advantage of the shifting landscape. It is all an unpredictably swirling and chaotic political storm in my mind.?
_._,_._,_


 

? ?

1.? ? What one book have you been reading lately that most impressed you?

Vanished Kingdoms by Norman Daivies

2.? ? ?Can you depend on your ability to tell when someone is lying to you?

Not as much as I would like to think I can

3.? ? ?Have you been to a movie in a theater in the last year?

No - and probably won't go to one ever again

4? ? ? ?Do you think the world ecinomy will be in recession within six months?

I am most atraid of stagflation - a combination of recession and inflation

5? ? ? ?Are you worried that the war in Ukraine will spread to more couniires?

More than I was yesterday - apparently Finland has applied tor admission to NATO and a Russian dignitary has made threatening comments